ESPN's Computer Model Predicts NFL's 10 Winningest Teams

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ESPN's Computer Model Predicts NFL's 10 Winningest Teams

Originally posted on The Spun | By Andrew Holleran | Last updated Jun 14, 2026 7:51 AM ET

The 2026 NFL regular season is right around the corner.

Summer is nearly here, teams will soon be reporting to training camp and, before you know it, Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season will have arrived.

Which NFL teams will be the best in the league this fall? Which NFL teams will rack up the most wins during the regular season?

ESPN's computer model, the Football Power Index, has released its picks on Sunday morning, June 14. The ESPN Football Power Index has predicted the NFL's 10 most winningest teams for the 2026 season.

Jan 25, 2026; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold (14) passes against the Los Angeles Rams during the second half in the 2026 NFC Championship Game at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images© Steven Bisig-Imagn Images&period;

ESPN's Football Power Index predicts the following 10 teams will win the most games during the 2026 season:

All 10 teams are projected to win between 10 and 11 games during the 2026 season, per the Football Power Index.

How does the FPI work?

The FPI is a projection-based model.

"In the preseason, FPI uses a number of predictive factors to project future team strength. The main component of preseason FPI is Vegas expectations; the expected win totals and money lines for each team are an accurate representation of predicted team strength and provide a strong baseline for teams entering the season," ESPN writes.

"But relying solely on Vegas has its flaws, and more information is needed to determine what percentage of a team's projected win total can be attributed to its offense, defense and special teams units -- the components that make up FPI.

"Therefore, other information included in the preseason ratings include: previous years' efficiencies for each unit, number of returning starters (on offense and defense), coaching/coordinator/quarterback changes and quarterback injuries."

This article first appeared on The Spun and was syndicated with permission.

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