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Game plan: How the Steelers can beat visiting Bills
Barry Reeger-Imagn Images

With the Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the Buffalo Bills in Week 13 of the 2025 NFL regular season, here’s how Pittsburgh could pull off an upset — focusing on what their players, coaches and personnel groups must get right.

Go with the QB that’s most ready

Leading into Sunday’s game, Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin was cautiously optimistic about the return of QB Aaron Rodgers. “We’ll start this week with great optimism,” Tomlin said, acknowledging that Rodgers will be eased back in. “We’ll … provide opportunities for the other quarterbacks while preserving him.”

As fans witnessed with Mason Rudolph under center in Week 12, there may not be a major advantage to having Rodgers in the game instead.

The Steelers don’t have a quarterback problem as much as they have a scheme issue. Offensive coordinator Arthur Smith has got to draw up a game plan that adapts to the quarterback in the game – whether Rodgers or Rudolph – and exploit the Bills’ weaknesses.

Playing the quarterback that is most ready to compete at a high level is key. Additionally, ball security will matter. Avoiding self-inflicted wounds (penalties, turnovers, false starts) will play a part in how successful the Steelers are at QB, regardless.

Defensive front, edge toughness to create turnover opportunities

With Buffalo’s offensive line struggling — particularly at tackle — Pittsburgh’s defensive front has a real opportunity.

“The way I look at it for our group, we’ve got to plant a flag.” – Cameron Heyward

If the Steelers defense can control the line of scrimmage, they can make the Bills one-dimensional and force predictable passing situations. From there, pressure and turnovers become more likely.

Turnovers on downs count. Hemming in the offensive production on the ground by limiting rushing yards will force Josh Allen to attempt more passes; it’s a formula that relies on solid defensive planning from defensive coordinator Teryl Austin.

Buffalo comes into this game not fully settled in pass protection on the edges. That plays right into Pittsburgh’s strength: pressure. If the Steelers’ front can bring consistent pressure, even on blitzes or disguised rushes, the edge rushers have opportunities to force hurried throws, sacks or turnovers.

A disruptive defensive front could make even a good QB uncomfortable. With that pressure, the middle of the field may tighten up, limiting big plays — one of Buffalo’s favorite weapons.

Be physical and challenge on offense

On offense, the Steelers should aim to establish a physical run game. That keeps the Bills pass rush from teeing off, helps avoid turnovers, and eats up clock. It’s a classic underdog formula: shorter field, longer drives, less volatility — especially valuable against a Buffalo defense experiencing some injuries.

If Aaron Rodgers returns healthy, or even if Mason Rudolph gets the start, the Steelers’ ability to control the line of scrimmage and mix complementary running with passes, while avoiding mistakes and turnovers, will play a major factor in this game. That means Pittsburgh needs to go back to what worked best in their best games this season.

The secret: challenge the Bills defense on every play. Arthur Smith must adapt the playbook to play to the strengths of the personnel in the game and adapt throughout the game. The same stale offensive play-calling won’t keep the Steelers ahead of the chains.

Mindset: urgency yet calm under pressure

On the hot seat, Mike Tomlin’s leadership will be under scrutiny. He has preached about collective efforts. The Steelers, as a team, need to play as one. Despite the urgency of their current situation – now trailing the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North – the team needs to remain calm under pressure. Caution mixed with anticipation. Careful planning combined with the ability to adapt.

That reflects a broader team mindset: treat this as a must-win game, but don’t overthink it. If the Steelers can stay disciplined, play tough, and execute cleanly — in offense, defense and special teams — they give themselves a real chance for victory this weekend against a Bills team that has been hot and cold, too.

Execute cleanly, execute well

Clean execution could make the difference between a tight game and a blowout. Historically when the Steelers beat the Bills, it’s been because they played smart, mistake-free football, avoided turnovers, and didn’t let the Bills turn possessions into long drives or chunk plays.

That includes limiting Josh Allen’s production and the handful of offensive skill players as well as targeting defensive errors and mismatches the Bills have gotten caught in several times this season. The Steelers have the playmakers to execute well – they need to put their focus on being difference-makers on every down.

If the Steelers can combine all of the aforementioned keys on Sunday, they have an opportunity to begin a late-season surge of success. If they can’t, they very well could continue to watch their season slip away.

This article first appeared on Steel City Underground and was syndicated with permission.

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