Jordan Addison 2025 Redraft Outlook: Boom-or-Bust WR in Crowded Vikings Offense

Here’s the thing about Addison that’ll either make you a believer or send you running for the hills: this guy has found the end zone 19 times in just two NFL seasons. That’s not a typo, folks. While other receivers are out here catching 90 balls for 1,200 yards and 6 touchdowns, Addison’s over there playing fantasy football cheat codes with a measly 63 catches turning into 9 scores last season.

You want perspective? The dude scores on 14.3% of his career receptions. For comparison, that’s better than Justin Jefferson’s career mark of 8.1%, and it’s dancing with Randy Moss territory (15.7% as a Viking). Either we’re watching a future Hall of Famer, or we’re about to witness one of the most spectacular fantasy football regressions in recent memory.

Why the Touchdown Dependency Should Scare You

Let’s pump the brakes on the hype train for a second. Addison’s fantasy relevance lives and dies by those red zone looks, and that’s about as reliable as your buddy who says he’ll definitely draft a kicker before the last round. Last season, his average touchdown came from 24.6 yards out – the eighth-highest mark among receivers with at least 10 touchdown grabs.

Now here’s where it gets interesting (and by interesting, I mean terrifying for fantasy managers): The Vikings are asking rookie J.J. McCarthy to support not one, but two deep-ball threats in Jefferson and Addison. McCarthy entered the draft with question marks about his arm strength and processing speed. Sure, maybe he’s the next Brett Favre, but betting your fantasy season on a rookie quarterback feeding two receivers long touchdown passes feels like playing Russian roulette with five bullets.

The Three-Game Suspension Reality Check

Oh, and did I mention Addison got himself suspended for the first three games of 2025? Because apparently, violating the NFL’s Substance Abuse Policy was on his offseason to-do list. So while you’re sweating through those early September matchups, Addison will be watching from his couch, probably rethinking some life choices.

This suspension has tanked his ADP, which creates an interesting opportunity if you’re the gambling type. But let’s be honest – do you really want to roster a guy you can’t use for nearly 20% of the regular season?

The Case for Optimism (Yes, There Is One)

Before you completely write off Addison, let’s acknowledge what he does well. The kid can flat-out play football. His efficiency metrics improved across the board from Year 1 to Year 2, and his target share jumped to 20% last season, climbing to 22.5% over the final eight games.

Kevin O’Connell’s offense has been a fantasy goldmine, consistently ranking in the top six for passing yards and top five for passing touchdowns over the past three seasons. Even with the coaching staff wanting to establish more balance with their rebuilt offensive line, there’s still plenty of pie to go around in Minnesota.

Plus, Addison showed he’s not just a one-quarterback wonder. He put up nearly identical numbers with both Kirk Cousins and Sam Darnold under center, which suggests some level of quarterback independence.

The Bottom Line on Addison

Here’s my take: Addison represents everything that’s simultaneously exciting and frustrating about fantasy football. The ceiling is absolutely there – we’re talking about a 23-year-old receiver who’s already proven he can find the end zone at an elite level in an explosive offense.

But the floor? Man, the floor is scary. You’re betting on touchdown regression not happening, on a rookie quarterback successfully supporting two elite receiving threats, and on a player who’s already shown he can find trouble off the field.

In a receiver class loaded with talent and question marks, Addison feels like the kind of player who’ll either win you your league or have you stress-eating nachos by Week 6. His current ADP makes him a reasonable flyer, but don’t kid yourself into thinking this is a safe pick.

If you’re the type of fantasy manager who likes to live dangerously, Addison could be your guy. Just don’t say I didn’t warn you when you’re watching him put up three catches for 34 yards in Week 12 while your opponent’s boring WR2 methodically racks up 15 PPR points.