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Mile High Pressure: Bills vs. Broncos — Divisional Round Preview
Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Mile High Pressure: Bills vs. Broncos — Divisional Round Preview

Denver, Co. — The AFC’s top seed finally takes the field, and the matchup is unforgiving: Buffalo’s chaos-driven offense against Denver’s discipline, altitude, and defensive structure. The Broncos have the bye, the crowd, and a slight betting edge — but they’re facing the one quarterback in the league capable of detonating a game plan with two off-script plays.

Buffalo arrives battle-tested. The Bills survived a frantic Wild Card shootout against a red-hot Jacksonville team, sealing the game with a last-minute interception by Safety Cole Bishop. It wasn’t clean. It wasn’t comfortable. But it was the kind of win that hardens a team for January football.

Denver, meanwhile, has been waiting. Rested, prepared, and confident, the Broncos now face the ultimate stress test: containing Josh Allen in space, at elevation, with everything on the line.

Betting Lines (ESPN)

• Spread: Broncos -1.5
• Moneyline: Bills -108 | Broncos -112
• Over/Under: 45.5

Resume Check

Buffalo didn’t coast into the divisional round — it earned its spot through adversity. Late-game composure, defensive execution, and timely playmaking carried the Bills through a volatile Wild Card matchup. That experience matters. When Buffalo plays controlled football, it can beat anyone in the league.

Denver earned the AFC’s top seed with consistency. This team wins with patience, defense, and situational mastery. The Broncos tied an NFL record during the 2025 regular season with 11 one-score victories, repeatedly closing tight games with discipline and poise. The question now is whether that formula holds against an opponent capable of scoring in under two minutes.

Players to Watch

Bills:
Josh Allen is the headline — not just for his arm strength, but for his ability to erase defensive structure. Even when coverage is perfect, Allen can convert third-and-long with his legs. Buffalo will lean heavily on James Cook, especially with the Bills expected to be without Gabe Davis, Josh Palmer, and Curtis Samuel. Explosive plays — however they come — will determine whether Buffalo controls this game or grinds it out.

Broncos:
Denver’s identity starts on defense. Zach Allen, Nik Bonitto, and Pat Surtain II anchor a unit built to suffocate opponents. If linebacker Dre Greenlaw is limited, the middle of the field becomes vulnerable against Allen’s improvisation. Offensively, second-year quarterback Bo Nix leads the way, supported by Pro Bowl wideout Courtland Sutton. Denver doesn’t need fireworks — it needs clean drives, smart punts, and touchdowns instead of field goals.

How Each Team Wins

Bills win if:
• Josh Allen avoids the one disastrous quarter that flips games
• Buffalo protects the football and denies short fields
• They generate early explosives and force Denver to chase

Broncos win if:
• They keep Allen in the pocket and tackle in space
• They dominate red-zone possessions (TDs over FGs)
• They control tempo and turn this into a possession game

Prediction

This game can break in multiple directions. Denver owns a top-five defense and thrives in close, controlled environments. Buffalo, meanwhile, is capable of scoring 40 on any given night — but Mile High changes the calculus.

Ultimately, this comes down to the quarterback position. Bo Nix has been excellent, but Josh Allen remains a tier above.

Bills 20, Broncos 13

Buffalo survives Mile High and punches its ticket to a second straight AFC Championship Game, setting up a road showdown against either Houston or New England with everything on the line.

This article first appeared on EasySportz and was syndicated with permission.

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