The usual suspects for NFL MVP were atop the odds leaderboard heading into the season. Josh Allen was once again the favorite, followed by Lamar Jackson, Drake Maye, Joe Burrow, and Patrick Mahomes, rounding out the top five. The award rarely has a wire-to-wire leader, as many things can happen throughout the season. Allen came close to running the table in 2024, but Jackson was able to overtake him as the favorite multiple times that season.
With that being said, it’s never too early to start discussing the award. Week 1 provided some stellar performances that may set the tone for the season. One game doesn’t define the award, but it is the first step towards the history books. Who should be in contention after the first week?
Seemingly everybody’s favorite quarterback was the preseason favorite once again. Dan Orlovsky kickstarted the campaign to get Allen his second MVP, having him at the top of all his lists. Through one week, Orlovsky’s opinions have been substantiated. Allen was sensational as he overcame some of his demons against the Texans.
The Bills quarterback posted 334 yards on 29 attempts for two touchdowns and no interceptions, and a 130.5 rating, while also adding two rushing touchdowns in their 36-31 win. New head coach Joe Brady told Allen to go be Superman, and he was just that: dominant, spectacular, and efficient.
He did dodge a bullet at the end of the game, however, when Kamari Lassiter dropped the game-sealing interception. To Allen’s credit, he took advantage of the mistake and connected with Joshua Palmer for the win. The close call does raise the question of how sustainable that method will be. Allen has shown in the past that, for as many amazing plays he makes, he also commits boneheaded turnovers. It’s a situation to monitor, but for now he’s earned a place at the top.
There was a lot of self-started hype around the Bears offense. Head coach Ben Johnson talked about having the best offense of all-time, leaving the door open for massive amounts of criticism if things didn’t go right. 59 points later and there isn’t a single thing to say. Williams looked fantastic in this game. The biggest knock coming into the year was his completion percentage. He answered that quickly, completing 72% of his throws for 269 yards, two touchdowns, and a 124.1 rating.
Not only was Williams remarkable in the passing game, but he also rushed for 65 yards (second-most in his career) and two scores. An offensive explosion like that is a great way to kickstart an MVP run. With that defense, he may have to play that way all season to win games. The Bears quarterback made a statement that he’s putting it all together. His talent, coach, and situation make him a prime candidate to take home the award.
Speaking of former highly touted number one picks, Trevor Lawrence was dialed in on Sunday. Yes, it was the Browns, and they look like they’ll be a dumpster fire once again, but he was phenomenal. He went 18/23 for 245 yards, four touchdowns, and a 150.6 rating, all while getting little help from his run game.
This contest was a 24-point blowout, but it was Lawrence putting the Jags on his back. In the third quarter, he escaped the pressure and threw on the run to connect with Jakobi Meyers in the back of the end zone for one of the plays of the weekend. Earlier in the game, he hit Josh Cameron for a touchdown on a pass that got through four Browns defenders. If this game was a sign that Lawrence’s talent is coming to fruition with production, he could be looking at an MVP-level season.
A running back hasn’t won the award since 2012, and Henry could be the argument that keeps Jackson from winning it, but that game against the Colts proved that these two should be in the discussion. Last season was such a disaster that it led to a new coaching regime and the media questioning whether Jackson and Henry’s best days were behind them. After this week, that doesn’t seem to be the case.
Jackson turned in the most efficient quarterback performance, with 324 yards on 13 yards per attempt, showing that he hasn’t missed a beat. Henry continued to defy Father Time with 144 rushing yards and three touchdowns. The new offense crafted by Declan Doyle (of the Ben Johnson coaching tree) looks like it’s going to allow these two to shine. The question is whether or not both of them producing at a high level will keep them out of award discussions.
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