NFL Player Props: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Wild Card Saturday

NFL Player Props: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks

Chargers vs. Texans

Will Dissly

Sean Koerner: It’s been a couple of months since I’ve been able to gush about Will Dissly. Those were better times, so let’s go back to the well here with him.

As you might remember, he went on that mini-tear as the lead tight end from about Week 6 through 13 and then he dealt with a few injuries and has been in and out of the lineup.

Last week we saw him finally return to that full-time role that he had when he went on that tear. He ran a route on 71% of Justin Herbert‘s drop-backs and that was the first time since Week 12 that he cleared 70%.

So this is a good time to hop back on the Dissly bus.

Joe Mixon 2+ TDs

Sean Koerner: Joe Mixon was kind of quiet down the stretch and actually held scoreless through the final four games of the season, so I think this is a good time to buy low.

When it comes to goal line usage, Mixon was one of the most dominant in the league in terms of percentage of team rush attempts inside the five-yard line, seeing 88% of the Texans’ goal line attempts this season. Only Derrick Henry had a higher rate at 90%.

The only other running back who actually saw a goal line touch for the Texans this year was Cam Akers — he plays for the Vikings now.

So Mixon has quite literally zero competition around the goal line in Houston.

Steelers vs. Ravens

Isaiah Likely

Chris Raybon: Isaiah Likely is second on the Ravens with 13 red-zone targets. He leads the team with eight targets inside the 10, and that’s despite being behind Mark Andrews for most of the year.

Over the last two weeks, he’s had a 74% route run rate, and while Nelson Agholor is expected back this week, Zay Flowers is out, so I still expect Likely to operate as kind of the de facto slot receiver for the Ravens, especially when they’re in scoring range.

Calvin Austin III

Chris Raybon: It’s hard to have confidence in any Steelers after their performance against a bad Bengals defense last week, but I’m going with Calvin Austin III.

Three of Austin’s four touchdowns this year have come with Russell Wilson under center. George Pickens being on the field actually tends to help him, possibly just because Pickens draws coverage away from Austin.

He also has a punt return touchdown this year, and if you’ll recall, Austin did score a touchdown in his first and only playoff game last year in a 31-17 loss to the Bills.