Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) celebrates a TD. Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

NFL 'SNF' Week 4: Best bets and preview for Jets vs. Chiefs

By Jack Dougherty | Last updated 9/29/23

We're gearing up for the Week 4 edition of "Sunday Night Football," but the game on the field might be the secondary attraction at MetLife Stadium. That's because Taylor Swift herself will reportedly be in attendance to watch Travis Kelce and the Kansas City Chiefs take on the New York Jets.

Unfortunately, there are no open betting markets for the famous pop star, so we'll have to settle on bets for the game itself. Let's get into it.

New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs betting breakdown

Betting odds: Chiefs -9, over/under 41.5, Chiefs -420 moneyline | Jets +330 moneyline

This is a matchup between two teams going in the opposite direction. The Chiefs have won two straight games by a combined 39 points after dropping their season opener to the Detroit Lions, and the Jets have lost two in a row while scoring only 10 points in each game. That, my friends, is how you get to Kansas City as a nine-point road favorite on "SNF."

The biggest mismatch in this one is the Jets offense against the Chiefs defense. Sure, New York's offense is perpetually at a disadvantage as long as Zach Wilson is under center, but Kansas City's defense also looks much better this season. The Chiefs rank fourth in the NFL in points per game allowed (13.3) and sixth in yards per play allowed (4.6), plus they can get pressure on Wilson and force him into turnover-worthy plays.

As for injuries, the Chiefs will be without linebacker Nick Bolton and cornerback Jaylen Watson, but the rest of their injury report looks fairly clean. The Jets are also light on injuries, but they've already ruled out safety Tony Adams and lineman Wes Schweitzer.

'Sunday Night Football' best bets

Under 41.5 (-110 DraftKings)

What do you get when you combine a top-five defense with a bottom-five offense? That's right, unders galore.

The Jets are an under machine with Wilson under center. New York games have gone under 41.5 points in eight of the lane nine contests in which Wilson has taken a majority of the snaps at QB. This number only starts with a four because Mahomes and the Chiefs are on the other sideline, but this is a different Chiefs team than in years past.

The Jets will once again struggle to score 14 points against an improved defense, so as long as New York can hold Kansas City under 30, this should be a breeze.

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