-
Follow Us
On Facebook
On Flipboard
On Twitter
NFL Week 11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers betting picks, preview
Both Tampa Bay and San Francisco are in tight division races, which makes this Week 11 matchup all the more important. We're seeing some value on the spread in this one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers: Betting Odds
Spread: San Francisco -12, Over/under: 41.5 points, Tampa Bay +470 | San Francisco -650
Tampa Bay is 4-5 this season, but just shut down Tennessee convincingly to grab a much-needed win. Baker Mayfield hasn't looked too bad, honestly, which is made easier when you have an elite WR tandem of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.
San Francisco tends to allow big games to wide receivers, and that will be the Buccaneers best path to keeping this one competitive. Tampa is a half-game back of New Orleans for first in the NFC South.
For the 49ers, they blew out the Jaguars last week 34-3 with Trent Williams and Deebo Samuel back in the lineup, snapping a three-game losing streak. Just like that, San Fran is back in first in the NFC West at 6-3, 2.5 games back of the Eagles for the top spot in the NFC.
Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS this season, the third-best mark in football, and the 49ers are 5-4 ATS. San Francisco has a 5-4 record to the over, while the Buccaneers are 7-2 to the under.
Betting Picks for Tampa Bay vs. San Francisco
Buccaneers +12
This just feels like too many points for Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield. The team has been frisky, we feel confident saying that. It's reflected in their 6-3 record against the spread, and they are a perfect 4-0 ATS when the visitor.
Don't get it twisted, the secondary is a problem and San Francisco is well-equipped to capitalize, we just think this is a bit too many points. We do understand it, when the Niners win, they blow out teams, this just has the makings of a close game.
Call it a gut feel all you want, but we're backing the Bucs perfect road ATS record and project they lose by 7-10 points in San Francisco on Sunday.
Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.
More must-reads:
Breaking News
Sign up for the Bark Bets Newsletter
Bark Bets is Yardbarker's free daily guide to the world of sports betting. You'll get:
- Picks and predictions from our in-house experts
- The last-minute updates that give you an edge
- Special offers from Sportsbooks
Subscribe now!
