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Jacksonville Jaguars running back Tank Bigsby (4). Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 3: Three touchdown props for Sunday

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 9/22/23

Last Sunday, we swept the board on touchdown props. Could be fun to mess around and do it again. For NFL Week 3, I've got my eyes on three spots for a TD scorer.

All bets are a half-unit wager for me. For more touchdown targets of note, I broke down the full slate earlier this week on my Substack.

Tank Bigsby (+260 DraftKings)

Let the record show: I prefer Travis Etienne this weekend. I am going to likely put his touchdown in some type of parlay, because his -115 price doesn't move the needle for me as a straight in a market that's fickle like this.

As far as value goes, I'm finding it with backup running back Tank Bigsby. Bigsby didn't get a touch in Week 2, which might frighten you, but he did still see 19 snaps.

I expect some more carries in this one against a weak Houston defense that Jacksonville should drive on with ease.

Through two weeks, Houston has allowed four running back touchdowns, the second-highest total in the league. In 2022, this was an issue, the Texans allowed the most RB touchdowns with 25. It's nice to see some things don't change.

Bigsby may not have had seen a Week 2 touch, but he saw two red zone carries in Week 1, turning one into a touchdown. In what could be a lopsided affair, there should be some quality opportunities for the rookie back.

Zay Flowers (+175 DraftKings)

At some point, Flowers needs to find the end zone, and I'm loving this week to be his week. Flowers is leading Baltimore's pass-catchers with 15 targets and 6 red zone looks.

Despite that volume, he has yet to score an NFL touchdown. I already explained why I like Flowers to hit his yardage total, and I'm doubling down on my love for him with a TD bet.

Indianapolis has seen four WR touchdowns scored against them, the highest mark in the league. Couple that with a weak secondary, and give me the guy topping the team in volume every time.

Adam Trautman (+500 FanDuel)

Adam Trautman has scored one touchdown since the start of last year. Anyone want to join me on the week he scores his second in that span?

Trautman is the Broncos TE, if you didn't know. He saw only one target in Week 2, but five in Week 1. Of those six targets, three have come in the red zone.

Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.

Beyond his usage, the opponent is what really matters here. Miami has allowed two TE touchdowns this year, tied for second-most in the league. Last season, the Dolphins saw the fourth-most tight end TDs scored against them, so I'm interested in that recurring trend.

Miami also allows quite a few receptions to the TE position which should benefit Trautman here. I'm down to take a dip at +500.

Year-to-date: 4-9 (+0.05u)

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