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Ravens Star Predicted to Fall Short vs. Chiefs
Sep 5, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs the ball during the second half against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

The Baltimore Ravens' underwhelming playoff results directly tie back to their tendency to occasionally come up short in marquee matchups, and the public has turned on this current version of the team's questionable big game reliability quicker than they ever have before.

Early losses to fellow contenders in the Buffalo Bills and the Detroit Lions have set the Ravens up for a big-time showdown against the Kansas City Chiefs, who they're set to visit in Week 4. And despite answering the higher preseason stakes with a more impressive offseason team-building performance, both teams sit at unimpressive 1-2 records, and many are done siding with the continually-disappointing favorites in Baltimore.

3x Super Bowl MVP and Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the doubts against Lamar Jackson personified, the player he needs to beat in order to win over a portion of the NFL viewing audience who remains unconvinced that the Ravens star can hang with the best of the best.

He's 1-5 against the greatest player of his generation, failing to come up with a win in their last two matchups in the AFC championship game two seasons ago and last season's opener. Mahomes always seems to get the better of his AFC rivals, and nothing's expected to change against the Ravens following the 2025 Chiefs' finally sealing their first win last week.

CBS Sports' Garrett Podell cut Mahomes no slack in running through his numerous statistical shortcomings to start the fall.

"He's thrown for the worst completion (59%), yards per pass attempt (6.4) and fewest passing touchdowns (3) through three games in his career," he wrote.

"His inaccuracy has him leading the NFL with 22 off-target incompletions this season, which are also his most in a three-game span in career, per Pro Football Focus. That's why the Chiefs are averaging their fewest points per game (20.0), total yards per game (315.7) and yards/play (5.2) through three games since 2018, Mahomes' first season as a full-time starter."

Denny Medley-Imagn Images

Mahomes' slumping, which has much to do with the lackluster supporting cast at his side, couldn't be any more different than Jackson's league-leading 141.8 passer rating, 9.6 yards per attempt and 9:0 touchdown to interception ratio. That obvious disparity is what has some of the experts so uneasy.

"Despite Jackson's singular brilliance, some weird things will go down at Arrowhead, and the Chiefs will emerge victorious and overcome Mahomes' lackluster play as a 2.5-point home underdog,according to FanDuel," Podell concluded.

The Ravens quarterback's MVP-worthy numbers likely aren't frightening the Chiefs, who hold a historic and perceived psychological edge that would require multiple convincingly lopsided matchups to flip any narrative. Football is a team game, and one team's consistent ability to find an edge and steal the big win is dominating any week-to-week projection.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

This article first appeared on Baltimore Ravens on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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