Has quarterback Sam Darnold solidified his future with the Minnesota Vikings?
When the Vikings signed Darnold to a one-year, $10M deal this offseason, it seemed he would be a bridge QB for rookie J.J. McCarthy. However, he has shattered expectations.
In Minnesota's 42-21 win over the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, Darnold completed 22-of-28 passes for 347 yards and five touchdowns. Per Fox Sports' Jordan Schultz, Darnold became the first Vikings QB to throw five TD passes in a game since Daunte Culpepper in 2004.
DARNOLD JETTAS 52-YARD TD
— NFL (@NFL) December 8, 2024
: #ATLvsMIN on FOX
: https://t.co/waVpO8ZBqG pic.twitter.com/ZywUjIuoD4
Through his first 13 starts, Darnold is 11-2, ranks sixth in the league in passing yards (3,299) and is tied for third in touchdown passes (28). Despite his impressive stats, ESPN's Bill Barnwell doesn't expect him to return to Minnesota in 2025.
"The Vikings don't know what they have in McCarthy, but the one thing they can say with some confidence is that their quarterback-in-waiting will be cheaper," wrote Barnwell in a Monday column. "McCarthy will be entering Year 2 of a four-year, $21.9 million deal that will have a cap hit of just under $5 million next season."
Spotrac projects Darnold's market value is a four-year deal worth $34.4M annually. Minnesota could also franchise-tag him, but that seems unlikely.
The Vikings will have $78.6M in cap room in 2025, according to Spotrac. They may use this money to sign other starters, including cornerback Byron Murphy Jr., who's third in the league in interceptions (six in 13 games).
Perhaps Darnold would change Minnesota's plans if he continues flourishing and leads the team on a deep playoff run.
McCarthy suffered a season-ending knee injury in preseason. Schultz recently told FS1's Colin Cowherd that McCarthy is "ahead of schedule," even though he underwent a "minor, nonsurgical procedure"on Nov. 13.
If McCarthy has another setback, the Vikings will need a quality starter. They recently signed former Giants QB Daniel Jones, but Darnold seems a better option.
This offseason, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers signed Baker Mayfield to a three-year, $100M deal after he made his first Pro Bowl last season. The Vikings should consider doing the same with Darnold.
The 27-year-old would provide a contingency plan if McCarthy suffered more injuries. The Vikings could also trade Darnold for draft capital.
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