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Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs (14). Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Sunday Six-Pack: NFL Week 17 betting guide

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated Dec 30, 2023 4:24 PM ET

We have only two more full Sundays of this NFL season, so kick back and relax with a fresh six-pack of plays for Week 17.

Last week's looks went a disappointing 2-4, bringing our season to 49-40-1. Let's get back to our winning ways with our six favorite plays.

Taking a bite out of the road favorites: Los Angeles Rams -6 (-110 DK)

The Giants' defense is just truly dreadful, and this Rams offense came up all week for us. Whether it's Kyren Williams continuing his rushing prowess or Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua making plays in the passing game, it's extremely hard to see New York slowing down Los Angeles here.

Factor in that the Giants have nothing to play for while the Rams are pushing to secure a wild-card spot, and our choice is relatively simple here.

History and trends = Wins: Stefon Diggs over 5.5 receptions (-145 DK)

Buffalo's Stefon Diggs has been quiet of late in the passing game, but this matchup against New England should offer him a chance to break through as the Patriots are allowing the 10th-most receptions per game to wide receivers.

Diggs has enjoyed some solid outings against the Pats the past few years, going over this 5.5 receptions line in three straight and four of the past five meetings.

Battle between the AFC's two best: Miami-Baltimore over 46.5 (-110 DK)

This Dolphins-Ravens game should be a ton of fun to watch, and rocking with the over seems like the right play. Both sides are vulnerable to WR production, so the hope is players like Tyreek Hill and Zay Flowers create plenty of offense and help us hit this over.

These two teams met last season, a shootout that resulted in a 42-38 win for the Dolphins. Cheers to an encore.

Lean on his legs: D'Andre Swift over 66.5 rushing yards (-113 FD)

D'Andre Swift and the Eagles are facing one of the worst run defenses in the NFL in the Arizona Cardinals, and they'd be wise to let Swift get cooking on Sunday.

He's taken 18+ carries in two straight games, finishing with 74 and 92 yards because of it. Six straight starting running backs have gone over against Arizona, and Swift is in a good spot to extend that streak.

RBs feast on Denver: Austin Ekeler over 79.5 rushing & receiving yards (-117 CZR)

Every week, running backs who face Denver tend to show up as good targets for both rushing yards and receptions. Few running backs sport the duality that Austin Ekeler does for this Chargers offense, very involved through the air and on the ground.

Ekeler has hit this 80+ total yards line in four of his past five meetings with the Broncos, averaging 92.8 yards per game. He should be able to build on that Sunday.

Fading the rookie: Green Bay +1 (-108 DK)

This Packers-Vikings game holds quite a bit of weight in the NFC Wild Card race, and we're opting to back the Packers here on the road with the unknown in Jaren Hall at quarterback for Minnesota.

The Vikings defense struggles to slow down pass completions, and Green Bay has a wide array of weapons at every position that should help them move the football here.

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Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders.

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