Week 5's Sunday slate is nearly here, and there are betting angles galore. As always, we're hand-delivering you the latest six-pack of picks, our favorite bets after a week of research.
Last week, we went 4-2 on these looks once again, and we have yet to have a losing week here. Let's not start now. On the season, our six-pack looks have gone 15-9 (62.5%).
It will always be irresponsible to not have action on the early-morning London game. What else would we do on Sunday morning — go on a walk? Yeah right.
Buffalo's rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid is splitting TE duties with Dawson Knox, but it's clear that Kincaid is the pass-catching option between the two. He's third on Buffalo on targets, and he's hauled in 4+ receptions in three of four games this season.
Jacksonville allows the fourth-most receptions to tight ends this season.
This is a massive spread, but it feels warranted. Coming off a 28-point drubbing against Buffalo, I'd expect the Dolphins to come out firing, and they have the defense to do it against.
The New York Giants look dead. Their offensive line is horrendously bad, and their defense can't stop a thing, especially on the ground. That sounds like bad news against the most explosive rushing offense in football.
The Dolphins should win comfortably while the Giants continue to waste away.
With Treylon Burks out again, Chris Moore should once again be the deep threat in this Tennessee offense, and he's got a great opportunity to make the most of it.
Indianapolis has allowed the most passes of 20+ yards this season, and that's all Moore is going to need to pop a big play. Moore is averaging a ridiculous 33.3 yards per catch on the year, higher than his line this weekend.
Moore has been targeted just eight times, so this is a gamble, but six of those looks have gone 20+ yards down the field. This might be boom-or-bust, but the numbers say go for it. Moore has gone for 40+ yards in three straight games thanks to his explosive nature.
In what world should the 1-3 Broncos be favorites? Sure, Denver is home, and sure, Zach Wilson is the Jets quarterback, but New York is clearly the better team.
The Broncos defense is absolutely horrible. They've allowed 14 touchdowns over the past two weeks, and they have equal struggles slowing down the pass and the run.
Zach Wilson honestly looked good last Sunday against the Chiefs, keeping that game close. New York is the better team and can win this game, perhaps easily. Take the points.
Oh and yes, there is a revenge angle at play here, with Jets OC Nathaniel Hackett returning to play against the team that fired him after just one year.
Matthew Stafford and this Rams passing offense has looked quite solid this year, with Stafford averaging 307.3 passing yards per game, three times exceeding 300+ yards.
His line this weekend is set at just 269.5 yards, and that's with the return of Cooper Kupp. We'll gladly hop on the over here, especially when you see who he is playing.
Philadelphia just watched Sam Howell throw for 290 last week, and Kirk Cousins (364) and Mac Jones (316) both also put up big performances against this secondary.
Did we mention Kupp is returning?
Niners-Cowboys is one of the more anticipated games we've had in the NFL in quite some time. This offers a big test for both sides, and we should get to know Dallas a bit better after they've cruised through a couple of blowout wins.
Star WR CeeDee Lamb has been relatively quiet, three times finishing with only four catches. Still, Lamb has been targeted 30 times on the season, and San Francisco is allowing the third-most receptions to WRs on the season.
One of their vulnerabilties is in the slot, and Lamb has lined up in the slot on 72% of his snaps. Lamb had 11 catches in Week 2, so we know that element is still there, and in last year's playoffs, Lamb hauled in 10 catches against San Fran.
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