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Two touchdown bets for AFC Championship Game
Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers (4). Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Two touchdown bets for AFC Championship Game

We've been on a steady touchdown kick over the last few months, and it's been thanks to some simplistic views of the situation. We've got you covered with plenty of touchdown props this weekend, starting first in the AFC Championship Game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens.

Zay Flowers (+225 Caesars)

Kansas City has been one of the NFL's best defenses this year, but there should be confidence in Lamar Jackson and this Baltimore offense finding scoring opportunities by methodically driving down the field.

Through their two playoff games, the Chiefs have allowed four touchdowns: two to WRs, and two to QBs. We do love Jackson to score, but his price isn't quite as exciting as some of his pass-catchers.

If we look to attack that vulnerability, Zay Flowers is our preference. He's scored five touchdowns over his last six games and tops this WR room with 16 red zone targets on the year.

The return of Mark Andrews makes the tight end an interesting choice too, but we're hoping his presence only opens the door for some better matchups for Flowers in close.

Isiah Pacheco (+140 FanDuel)

The best way to beat Baltimore certainly feels like it could come on the back of Isiah Pacheco. That sentence might read silly later on Sunday as we watch Patrick Mahomes once again prove why he's the best quarterback in the league, but if we look at the numbers, it's the path for us today.

The Ravens have allowed the seventh-most yards per rush this year and the ninth-most receptions/game to running backs. That suggests plenty of Pacheco work is coming down the runway, and the Chiefs starting running back has been a force of late.

He's gone for 89+ rushing yards in six of his last eight games, and he's scored in six straight games. Pacheco is going to see significant touches, and should they get in close, it's a darn good guess that he's going to see the ball near the goal line. This is a solid price based on how steady he's been at scoring.


Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use. 


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