
Each week, I’ll be looking to spotlight players and defenses that I think have a tough matchup that could prevent them from producing their usual value. However, this is not intended as blanket advice to play fringe players ahead of established studs—for example, even if I call out a negative matchup for Josh Allen, it doesn’t mean he should be benched for Cam Ward—so always consider your own lineup alternatives.
With that out of the way, let’s look at Week 9:
This is a classic irresistible force meeting the immovable object matchup as Allen, the overall QB1 in fantasy points per game, faces the Minnesota Vikings, who bring the best defense in terms of limiting quarterbacks to the table. In seven games, Minnesota has given up 180 passing yards, 12 rushing yards, and 0.6 TDs per game. Allen’s unique ability to extend plays and willingness to take shots downfield give him a puncher’s chance at value, but if there was ever a week to consider your backup, this is it.
With Lamar Jackson (thumb) and Tyler Huntley (toe) both out, a banged-up Joe Fagnano (ankle) will make his first NFL start. That makes Henry the most important player on Baltimore’s offense by a country mile. The problem is, the Jacksonville Jaguars know that, too, and they’re bringing a defense that’s allowed 58 rushing yards per game to RBs this season. Making matters worse, a Thursday night kickoff gives Baltimore almost no time to adjust to their new QB.
In two games since returning from the bye, McMillan has combined for 10 receptions and 98 yards—he had topped 70 yards in four of the five games preceding the week off. Things may not improve much this Sunday. Only one team has allowed fewer TDs to receivers than the Denver Broncos, who give up 130 yards per game to the position. Oh, and Denver also has a guy named Patrick Surtain II.
Kincaid emerged from the fantasy version of witness protection on Sunday, catching four passes for 86 yards and a touchdown. That followed a four-game stretch in which he accounted for 11 receptions, 90 yards, and no touchdowns. He’s been as Jekyll-and-Hyde as any tight end in the NFL. Expect Mr. Hyde in Week 9. Minnesota is the only NFL team not to have allowed a touchdown to the position this season, and it has given up just 39 yards per game.
More must-reads:
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