Weekend Six-Pack: NFL Week 15 betting guide

Mahomes's circle is a good place to be: Rashee Rice over 5.5 receptions (+110 ESPN)

It seems more and more, Patrick Mahomes is plagued by mistakes from his wide receivers. That makes Rashee Rice oh so valuable right now; he's gaining Mahomes's trust and the volume that comes with it.

Over the last three games, Rice has 10, nine and 10 targets, catching 7+ passes in all three games. Now he sees a New England defense allowing the ninth-most receptions per game to WRs, he should be able to keep this rolling.

Don't sleep on Chicago: Bears +3 (-115 DK)

The more and more we think about this Bears-Browns game, the more we actually not only want to bet on Chicago to win, but also to make the playoffs.

That might sound a bit outrageous, so we'll calm ourselves down and simply bet them to keep this one within a field goal. Cleveland is down two key defenders this week, and while Joe Flacco has been solid to start, it's unwise to simply accept that as what is to come for the rest of this season. Chicago's defense has been downright dominant of late, and the Bears have won three of their past four games, with a late collapse against Detroit the only thing keeping them from a four-game winning streak.

We like Justin Fields to keep making plays on Sunday.

Running backs vs. Carolina = Money: Bijan Robinson TD (+140 FD)

This is as simple as they come. The Carolina Panthers are allowing the most touchdowns per game to running backs, only twice this season failing to see a RB score against them. Bijan Robinson is finally starting to see a featured role here for the Falcons, scoring four touchdowns over the past four games. That should continue here in a big divisional matchup.

Commanding our bets: Rams -6.5 (-112 DK)

The only certainty about the Washington Commanders at this stage is that we are going to fade them into oblivion. This secondary is atrocious. They are allowing the most yards per pass attempt, the most passing yards per game and the third-most passes of 20+ yards.

Matthew Stafford and the Rams are starting to figure things out, and they played Baltimore extremely tough last week. Expect a big outing from the Los Angeles QB as they cruise to a 7-point win to advance to 7-7.