If you’ve kept an eye on the Baltimore Ravens’ offense over the past few seasons, you’ve probably heard the name “Zay Flowers” tossed around. He’s fast. He’s dynamic. And he’s undeniably talented. But the million-dollar question for fantasy football players is this: Can Zay Flowers truly break out in 2025?
If you’re looking for a spoiler, here’s the deal. Flowers might be one of the most explosive young receivers in the league, but there are a few factors working against him. Grab your coffee and settle in, because we’re breaking down why 2025 could either be his breakout year or just another chapter in a book of missed opportunities.
At 5-foot-9 and 175 pounds, Flowers is an electric playmaker. He’s the kind of receiver who can make defenders look silly with his quick cuts and straight-line speed. He forces teams to play more zone coverage against Baltimore, and when he’s on the field, opponents shift their defensive schemes significantly.
When you watch him move, Flowers passes the eye test with flying colors. He’s a difference-maker. But stats don’t always tell the full story. Over two seasons, Flowers has yet to dominate in the fantasy football world. Why? Because, as talented as he is, it’s hard to shine in an offensive system that ranks as one of the most run-heavy in the league.
Baltimore’s offensive identity revolves around running the football. Since Lamar Jackson took the starting reins at quarterback, the Ravens have averaged fewer than 29 pass attempts per game almost every season. For context, that’s leagues below the NFL average.
Here’s a look at their pass-to-run percentage over the years:
Even with the arrival of offensive coordinator Todd Monken and Pro Bowl seasons from key offensive players, the Ravens continue leaning on their rushing attack. Add Derrick Henry, who accounts for a massive chunk of their touches near the goal line, and you’ve got even fewer scoring opportunities for the Ravens’ receiving corps. Henry’s presence was a game-changer in 2024, but it’s not exactly great news for a receiver hoping to rack up stats.
Here’s where the math gets grim. The fewer passes a team throws, the fewer opportunities their wideouts have to rack up PPR points. Over the last decade, only four wide receivers on low-passing-volume teams managed to finish top-12 in PPR scoring. That’s not great news for Flowers’ fantasy potential.
For the Ravens, the numbers are even more severe:
Flowers’ fantasy ceiling is limited by team structure, not talent. Baltimore’s focus on rushing and spreading targets among several players, including tight ends Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, and fellow wideouts Rashod Bateman and DeAndre Hopkins, means Flowers won’t have the lion’s share of opportunities. And while Todd Monken has hinted at getting Flowers more involved, history suggests otherwise.
For Flowers to secure WR2 status in fantasy football, a few things need to align perfectly. Monken needs to commit to featuring Flowers as a primary offensive weapon. Flowers needs to string together consistent performances across 17 games. Injuries have impacted his production late in seasons, and the Ravens would need to feature him even during crunch time, not just in blowouts.
That means not only more targets but also creative ways to get him the ball, including screens and designed plays. Derrick Henry, with his goal-line carries, and Mark Andrews, with his elite target share, make Flowers’ fantasy stock volatile. If Andrews or Henry were to miss time, Flowers would see a significant uptick in targets and red-zone opportunities.
There’s no doubting Zay Flowers’ talent. He’s a star athlete who could likely thrive on a more high-volume passing team. The issue lies not with Flowers, but with the Ravens’ system. When your quarterback is one of the league’s best dual-threat players and your team philosophy leans heavily on running the ball, the passing opportunities will be few and far between.
Fantasy players eyeing Flowers for 2025 will need to temper expectations. If you’re looking for a reliable WR2, Flowers might not be your guy. But as a WR3 or flex option? He could bring some serious splash plays to your lineup, especially if Baltimore tweaks its offensive blueprint. Just don’t bet the farm on a breakout season unless you start seeing glimpses of change in the preseason.
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