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4 Keys to the Oilers Winning the Pacific Division This Season
Adam Henrique, Edmonton Oilers (Photo by Curtis Comeau/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

The Edmonton Oilers enter this season with a lot of hype after appearing in back-to-back Stanley Cup Finals. Despite their recent playoff success, they haven’t had the same regular-season success. They finished second two seasons ago and third last campaign. In fact, the Oilers haven’t won their division since 1987, when it was called the Smythe Division. That’s the longest division title drought in all North American major professional sports.

The Pacific Division is arguably the weakest in the league, with the Oilers and Vegas Golden Knights as the front-runners to win the division. So, this is Edmonton’s best chance to secure home ice advantage for at least the first two rounds of the playoffs. But to do so, they need to perform in the regular season. With that said, here are four keys to the Oilers winning the Pacific Division in 2025-26.

Goaltending

Let’s discuss the most obvious one first. The Oilers need above-average goaltending if they hope to have sustained regular-season success, and that starts with Stuart Skinner. Skinner is hoping for a bounce-back season after a disappointing 2024-25. In 2023-24, the Oilers’ netminder got red-hot after the Christmas break and was arguably the NHL’s best goalie that January. Unfortunately, that hot streak never materialized last season, and he struggled for extended periods.

The 26-year-old had an .896 save percentage (SV%) last season, after having a .914 SV% in 2022-23, and a .905 SV% in 2023-24. For comparison, the NHL’s average SV% last season was .900. He also had 10 fewer wins than the season prior. He doesn’t need to be elite, but if he can have a SV% between .908 and .914, the Oilers will be in a good position. The Edmonton native is entering a contract year, becoming an unrestricted free agent at season’s end, so this is a big year for him if he wants a contract extension while rebuilding his stock.

Oilers Must Have a Good Start

The Oilers had dreadful starts the past two seasons, and that can’t be the case in 2025-26. They started the 2023-24 season 2-9-1, leading to the firing of head coach Jay Woodcroft. They relied on a historic 16-game winning streak to battle back in the standings before ultimately finishing second in the division. Then, they started 6-7-1 in 2024-25, losing their first three home games. They fell behind early and couldn’t catch up enough, resulting in a disappointing third-place finish and no home-ice advantage for the first three playoff rounds.

However, if Edmonton wants a good start, they must be road warriors out of the gate. 17 of their first 26 games are on the road, with 12 against Eastern Conference opponents. Their early travel schedule is gruelling, but if they can survive that stretch with a quality record, they’ll get rewarded with a home-heavy schedule in the second half as they fight for a division title.

Special Teams

The Oilers’ special teams must be successful, especially the penalty kill. They were in the middle of the pack last season, ranking 16th on the penalty kill, at 78.2 percent. While they did lose an important penalty killer in Connor Brown during free agency, they must find a way to improve that area, and it starts between the pipes. They need timely saves and other players to step up to fill the void Brown left behind.

The power play also must improve. They ranked 11th last season at 23.7 percent, but with their elite personnel, they should be better. They felt too stagnant and predictable at times last season, but hopefully that changes with the departure of assistant coach Glen Gulutzan. Gulutzan ran the power play, but he’s no longer with the team, so we should see a new look on the man advantage.

Depth Scoring

Depth scoring is crucial for every team, and the Oilers are no different. They require more production throughout the lineup from players not named Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl. The bottom-six veterans must contribute, most notably, Mattias Janmark and Adam Henrique. Janmark had an abysmal two goals last season, and Henrique had an underwhelming 27 points. They need to be better.

The Oilers also need production from their younger players and new acquisitions. Matt Savoie and Isaac Howard are rookies hoping to make an impact this season. If they can produce on their entry-level contracts, that will bode well for the Oilers, and hopefully, they’ll find success. They should both see time in the top six, but they must contribute if they hope to stay there. They are relatively unknown, but have high upside, so fans are excited to see what they can bring to the table.

Another unknown is David Tomasek. He’s embarking on his first season in North America, so what can we expect from him? He’s a 6-foot-2, 210-pound right-winger who can shoot the puck, and that’s enticing. If his offensive instincts can translate from Europe to the NHL, the Oilers have a quality bottom-sixer.

Then, there’s Trent Frederic. Frederic suffered a high-ankle sprain in February, and he never recovered. The Oilers acquired him ahead of the 2025 Trade Deadline, but his injury limited his ability. They didn’t get the best out of him, so hopefully he’s fully healthy heading into this season. He’s only 27 years old, entering the first season of his new eight-year deal, so the Oilers believe in him. Therefore, he needs to validate that belief by being a contributing factor. He scored 17 goals in 2022-23 and 18 goals in 2023-24, so the offence is there.

Finally, there’s Andrew Mangiapane. He’s another new acquisition looking to make an impact on his new team. He’s a top-nine player who will likely see time on the first, second, and third lines. The 29-year-old is looking for a bounce-back season after a disappointing 2024-25. At the end of the day, the Oilers need their depth players to step up and alleviate some pressure off the top guys. This team has some relatively unknown players, but if everyone digs in, the Oilers can be dangerous.

Will Edmonton finally win the Pacific Division? Keep following The Hockey Writers for all your NHL content throughout the season.

This article first appeared on The Hockey Writers and was syndicated with permission.

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