Breaking down ESPN’s 2025-26 individual point projections for the Calgary Flames

With training camp starting up in just a couple of weeks, we’ve started to see some early projections for the 2025–26 season roll in. Every year, ESPN projects point totals for every NHL team’s core player group. This year is no different, with ESPN dropping their projected totals last week. So how accurate are they, and which totals may hit the over or the under? Let’s break it down.

Matt Coronato

Projection: 36G-34A-70Pts

Starting it off with a bang. ESPN has Matt Coronto taking a huge leap in his third NHL season, leading the Flames in goals and points. This would be a tremendous season for Coronato, especially after signing a big six-year extension this past summer. With that said, I think this total might be a tad high. That’s not to say Coronato can’t be a 70-point player, but I think this coming season is too soon to project these kinds of numbers.

The Flames had the league’s fourth-worst offence last season, and did nothing but swap backup goalies in the offseason. As good as Coronato is, I think it’ll be tough to reach 34 goals and 70 points on this Flames roster. I think he takes a step forward, but lands closer to the 60-point range.

Prediction: Under

Nazem Kadri

Projection: 32G-34A-66Pts

After a career-best 35-goal season in 2024–25, ESPN has Kadri taking the smallest of steps back in 2025–26, posting 32 goals and 66 points. All in all, I think this is a pretty accurate prediction across the board. Kadri is due for a slight step back, but given he remains the team’s number one centre and best forward, I think he’s in for similar production to last season.

Hitting 32 goals may be a challenge (he’s done it just three times in his entire career), but the point total seems dead on, assuming Kadri doesn’t regress this season due to age. I’ll say he comes in slightly under but still over 60 points.

Prediction: Under

Jonathan Huberdeau

Projection: 23G-41A-64Pts

ESPN has Jonathan Huberdeau posting his best season yet in Flames colours, topping last season’s 62 points with 64 in 2025–26. I think this is a fair, albeit optimistic, prediction given the weak supporting cast around Huberdeau right now.

Huberdeau shot a career best 18.3% last year, and while they do have him scoring five fewer goals, they have his assists going up by seven. With zero scorers added to the Flames’ bottom five offence this summer, I’m not sure where Huberdeau is going to be gathering those extra assists. As much as I’d love to see him take another step, I have some doubts it’ll happen.

Prediction: Under

MacKenzie Weegar

Projection: 9G-41A-50Pts

The vibes are immaculate, according to ESPN. They have MacKenzie Weegar posting the third-best season of his career with 50 points, and the highest assist total of his entire career with 41. We all love MacKenzie Weegar, but this seems like a bold prediction.

With that said, he did post 39 assists and 47 points last season in the league’s 29th-ranked offence, so if the Flames take even a tad step forward, these totals are easily within reach. As well if Rasmus Andersson is indeed traded, even more responsibility will be put on Weegar, meaning he’s going to be playing a ton of minutes in every situation. He also has motivation this season to push for a spot on Team Canada at the 2026 Olympics. I say he hits these totals and has a career-best season.

Prediction: Over

Blake Coleman

Projection: 17G-25A-42Pts

Blake Coleman has hit 40 points just once in his career, but ESPN has him hitting the total in 2025–26. This one seems like a stretch. While Coleman did hit 15 goals and 39 points last year, he’s going to be another year older this year, as will his running buddy Mikael Backlund.

While it’d be huge for the Flames if Coleman can hit 40 points again, I don’t see it happening at this stage of his career and on this roster. I think he lands somewhere in the mid-30s instead.

Prediction: Under

Yegor Sharangovich

Projection: 20G-21A-41Pts

No one had a tougher 2024–25 season than Yegor Sharangovich. The 27-year-old saw his goal and point totals plummet to just 17 and 32, respectively. While ESPN doesn’t have him returning anywhere close to his 31-goal, 59-point heights of 2023–24, they do have him bouncing back in 2025–26. I think that’s a more than fair assessment.

I don’t know if Sharangovich will ever get back to being a 30-plus goal scorer again, but he certainly has more to offer than what he showed last year. I think he hits 20 goals this coming season and reaches the mid-40s in points.

Prediction: Over

Morgan Frost

Projection: 15G-25A-40Pts

After a disappointing 2024–25 season, ESPN has Morgan Frost bouncing back with 15 goals and 40 points in 2025–26. To me, this total still seems a little low, at least for the Flames’ sake, I hope it is. Frost’s current career high is 19 goals and 46 points, which he hit in 2022–23. I think he lands closer to that total this coming season.

The Flames simply don’t have any offensive depth down the middle after Kadri, and I think Frost is set to take on a larger role within the Flames’ offence this year once he’s had a full offseason and training camp with the team. He should be earning a sizeable amount of ice time at even strength and on the power play, leading me to believe he lands closer to a career best season.

Prediction: Over

Joel Farabee

Projection: 18G-21A-39Pts

After a nightmare 2024–25 season that saw him post 25 points and just six in 31 games in Calgary, ESPN has Joel Farabee bouncing back with the second-best season of his career. I think this is a fair bet. Farabee shot a career-worst 7% last year, meaning some positive regression is surely in his future. For reference, he’s shot above 10% in four of his six seasons in the NHL.

With some more puck luck and a full training camp in Calgary, I think Farabee settles in and finds a home as one of the Flames’ better offensive wingers this season. I think 18 goals and 39 points are the perfect prediction.

Prediction: Even

What does it mean for the Calgary Flames overall?

Taken together, the point totals point to a team taking a small step forward across the board, with positive regression expected for many of the team’s top players. Assuming the team can get the same level of goaltending as last season, ESPN seems to show the Flames pushing again for a playoff spot this season. It’s hard to imagine this team doing much better than last year without adding much to the roster and with the expected removal of Andersson, but if this team can improve offensively, anything is possible.