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Canucks’ draft options at 15th overall: Justin Carbonneau
David Kirouac-Imagn Images

We’re just under one month away from the NHL Entry Draft, where the Vancouver Canucks hold their first round pick for the first time since 2023.

For how long? That remains to be seen.

And yet, we continue to push forward as if they will maintain their position and select a young and hopeful prospect with the 15th pick.

With that, we give you our second potential target.

Previous targets:

Justin Carbonneau

Team: Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (QMJHL) | Age: 18 | Position: Right Wing | Height: 6-foot-1 | Weight: 192 lbs | Shoots: Right | Birthplace: Lévis, Quebec, Canada

We’ve emphasized centres with our target list for obvious reasons.

Looking at the depth chart, the Vancouver Canucks are dangerously light up the middle, with minimal reinforcements on the way.

Regardless, sometimes you have to target pure skill, rather than need. And Justin Carbonneau could easily carry the highest offensive pedigree within this echelon of the first round.

With some of the best hands in the draft – perhaps the best – the Quebec native blends an intriguing mixture of high-end skill and power elements. His highlight package is one of the more thrilling among this entire draft, let alone the mid-stages of the first round.

When offensive chances arise, Carbonneau is typically at the centre of it all. He lives to produce points and can do so in various ways. Rushing up the ice, he shows tremendous speed and views the ice well with his head always up in transition.

The crafty right-shot winger finished his draft-eligible season tied for second in the QMJHL in goal totals (46), while sitting second leaguewide with 89 points, firing at an impressive 1.44 point-per-game clip.

Among the entire crop of 2025 eligibles, he finished third in goals and fifth in point totals.

He uses his powerful stride and delicate hands to blow by defenders or his strength to drop the shoulder and power through his check. He’s not afraid to get physical, giving him a considerable advantage when transitioning to the next level.

While some areas in his game need work, the offensive package is highly intriguing. Whether it’s a filthy highlight goal showing off his crafty hands, a rocket shot from both long and short ranges, or digging for pucks at the net front, he can do it all.

He’s a natural shooter who can release that weapon in various ways. From a distance, he can unleash a powerful one-timer. From mid-range, he delivers effective drag-and-release shots or pinpoint wrist shots. He’s deadly off the rush and can work the inside incredibly well thanks to his swift puckhandling.

It’s not just the goals, either. Carbonneau is a dual-threat contributor and can make showstopping assists with his deceptive nature, finding teammates with tricky passes that many could not execute. Simply put, the opportunities are endless when the whole package is working – speed, power, compete and offensive skill.

Could you sense a “but” coming?

His offensive attributes are exciting and fully projectable as a top-six bet. However, definite holes in his game beg for maturation and development, most of which boil down to decision-making.

While his mind is extremely crafty, it can lead him to try too much. Whether it’s him attempting to stick-handle his way through traffic or come up with one of his flashy assists, it’s not always effective.

When it works, it’s fantastic. At the Junior level, you can get away with the occasional giveaway and breakdown. But as Carbonneau climbs the ranks, the options shrink considerably, and he’ll be forced to simplify his game and potentially play a more watered-down version of what we see today.

Additionally, the commitment to the defensive side of the puck needs polishing. As an offensive player who always thinks “production,” he must develop more responsible habits and play a more complete 200-game.

The good news is that he appears very aware of these areas of need, and his shortcomings generally don’t stem from a lack of effort.

He led his team in blocked shots this season, getting in front of 123 shots for an average of just under two per game, which was huge compared to the next skater in Blainville-Boisbriand at 87 blocks.

So, his two-way game is the most significant outlier in his game, but hopefully, it can be cleaned up in the future.

But you take the positives with the negatives with this pick. A player with his unique combination of offensive prowess and power is well worth the gamble in the mid-stages of the first round, as there could be serious top-six potential looming.

If the Canucks took him with the pick, you are guaranteed to have a good time following his trajectory. He’s poised to churn out highlights on a near game-to-game basis for the next few years as he pushes toward the pro ranks.

Daily Faceoffs Steven Ellis had him at 15 in his mid-season draft rankings, with him providing a typical breakdown:

“Carbonneau’s game has a lot of high-end attributes. Great skater? Check. Excellent shot release? Absolutely. A bit of an edge, at times? You bet. Carbonneau loves to make big, flashy, high-end plays and often comes out on the right side of it.

“He can get caught trying to do too much and could use his teammates a bit more, but he understands that and is doing a better job of realizing when to bail on a play. I expect him to rise up a few more spots as he continues to build on his consistency.”

This sort of description is one you’ll frequently see from nearly every profile of Carbonneau, including the one you’re reading right now.

But one thing is clear about Justin Carbonneau: The ceiling is among the highest at this spot.

This article first appeared on Canucksarmy and was syndicated with permission.

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