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NHL best bets: Three bets to get your week started

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated Feb 27, 2023 4:14 PM ET

It's a new week of hockey, and there's no better way to get it going than loading up some winning prop plays. We've scanned the board in what is some really exciting Monday matchups and have settled on three bets.

Alexandar Georgiev over 28.5 saves (-118 FD)

Vegas looks to be in a good spot for shots here, and I'm torn between a couple different shooters. With everyone looking so inviting, I'll pivot to the opposite end and wager that with those shots comes some goalie saves for Colorado's Alexandar Georgiev.

The belief for Vegas shots is born from recent numbers. The Golden Knights are averaging nearly 35 shots per game on the road over their past 10, while Colorado is seeing 32.6 shots against them per game over their last 10 at home.

Georgiev has gone over this saves line in four of his last six games and four of his last six at home. He's seen Vegas twice this season, stopping 33 and 25 shots in the two meetings.

While you may pause seeing that 25 number, it should be noted that the Golden Knights played that game without Jack Eichel and Jonathan Marchessault, two of the biggest drivers for Vegas offense. Both players were on the ice for their October meeting that saw the Golden Knights tally 35 total shots.

If you do still prefer looking to shots, Eichel is my favorite look, hitting much more consistently on the road this season.

.5u: Patrice Bergeron point & Leon Draisaitl over 2.5 SOG (+165 bet365)

This Boston-Edmonton game is going to be a fun one, and I've explored a few various options to attack it. One way I'll be doing so is by combining some of my favorite prop looks into a Same Game Parlay. This isn't available on many books, so if you aren't able to combine these two, I hope me flagging them helps you build some of your own parlays.

I definitely prefer the Boston end for goal-scoring tonight, and Patrice Bergeron has come on strong. He has six points in his last five games and five points in his past three on the road. He has a goal and three assists in his past three vs. the Oilers and has tallied a point in eight of his past 12 against Edmonton. -140 for a point for a guy on the top line and the top power play feels extremely reasonable.

Meanwhile, my preferred side for shots is with the Oilers, who tend to find 35+ shots when at home. Leon Draisaitl has come on strong, averaging 3.88 SOG/game over his last eight games on rising attempts. He's gone over this 2.5 line in three straight against Boston, racking up 13 shots over his past three meetings.

.5u: Jason Robertson goal (+104 FD)

I tried. I tried to stay patient and figure out who is in net for Vancouver. It's been a slow drag to confirmation, and I've gotten to the point where I need to make a decision.

When I scanned the board this morning, my initial take was that Dallas is sure to find some success against a suspect Canucks defense. The Stars have been in a funk, and this would be the ideal time to break out of it. As of this writing, it appears it may be Thatcher Demko in net for the first time since December, but I don't even care who it is anymore. I have to trust my initial gut and read of the situation.

Dallas needs to find an offensive spark, and Jason Robertson is the man to deliver it. He has just two goals in his last five games and has certainly been more inconsistent than the beginning of his season. The point remains, he's one of the most talented players on the ice, operating at a high volume. In a game that the Stars should conceivably find goals, I'm opting for their star to get in on the fun.

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders.

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