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NHL bets: Looking for winners on Wednesday 3/15
Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports

NHL bets: Looking for winners on Wednesday 3/15

We have an eclectic mix of prop plays for Wednesday on the ice. Whether you like points, shots on goal or a parlay, we have you covered. Plays around here have been incredibly up and down, and I for one would like us to find some stability in this market. These three plays seem like the right way to do it.

.5u: Nathan MacKinnon over 1.5 points (+145 DK)

I already took MacKinnon to score and get some shots, and now I'm doubling down on my investment by placing a half-unit wager on him going over 1.5 points.

I love this Colorado-Toronto game for goals, and don't hate if you just wanted to bet the over. It's a TNT game between two high-powered offenses, and I expect the stars to shine bright.

MacKinnon's price is just offering some clear value to me. He has 2+ points in 50% of his games this season, which should give us odds at +100 but instead we have an opportunity to grab him at +145. He's been on fire lately, with 2+ points in 10 of his last 15 games and five of his last six on the road.

Colorado is averaging 3.4 goals per game on the road and brings a clear power play edge to the table in this one. Toronto's PK has been slipping of late, allowing a power play goal in four straight games.

The Avalanche are not an ideal matchup for a team looking to fix the penalty kill, and I expect a goal there for the defending Stanley Cup champs. MacKinnon is very involved on the top power play, so the added presence there has me liking his points prop at plus-money.

Mats Zuccarello over 2.5 SOG (-108 FD)

Tonight is an important test for the Minnesota Wild. Not by the Blues, for me. Two games ago I backed Zuccarello's shots to failure and then gave up on him and watched him cover his prop the next game. In that next game, I backed Matt Boldy, who failed me.

I now ping-pong back to Zuccarello in a make-or-break night for my relationship with this team. Should he fail me, I'll simply give up on Minnesota entirely as clearly this team isn't for me.

With that being said, I like this spot. St. Louis is allowing north of 34 shots per game at home, and Zuccarello is over 2.5 shots in three of his last four, with 7+ attempts in all three of those games he covered. He had five shots earlier in the season against the Blues, and the continued absence of Kirill Kaprizov opens up volume for others.

SGP for Islanders-Ducks (+153 FD)

You likely have seen that FanDuel once again is offering Same Game Parlays for shot props, which is an exciting development that I pray remains a part of the market moving forward.

The Islanders-Ducks game later tonight feels like a prime opportunity to roll one out. New York is allowing 33.4 shots per game on the road over their last 10, and Anaheim is allowing nearly 40 shots per game at home.

I've loaded up the following parlay, a modest combination of a few gentlemen to hit 2+ shots.

Bo Horvat

  • 2+ shots in nine straight games and 79% on the season
  • 2+ shots in 11 of the past 12 on the road
  • Averaging 3.8 SOG/game over his last five meetings with the Ducks, including six earlier this season

Noah Dobson

  • 2+ shots in eight of his last nine games and 74% on the year
  • 2+ shots in nine of the past 11 on the road
  • 2+ in two straight vs. the Ducks, who allow the fourth-most shots to defensemen over the past 10 games

Troy Terry

  • 2+ shots in 75% of games this season and 78% at home
  • Averaging 3.2 SOG/game over his last five at home
  • Three shots in back-to-back meetings with Islanders

Trevor Zegras

  • 2+ shots in 73% of home games this season
  • 2+ shots in five of last six games, averaging a team-high 5.6 attempts/game in his past five
  • 2+ shots in all three career games vs. Islanders

Together, these four come in at +153 on FanDuel to each get 2+ shots, a price I like putting a unit on. If you're feeling daring, each to get 3+ is +821.

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