Apr 22, 2024; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers forward Adam Henrique (19) and Los Angeles Kings forward Trevor Moore (12) battle for a loose puck. Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports

NHL bets: Two player props for Sunday's Western Conference action

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated Apr 28, 2024 12:06 PM ET

We went 2-0 again yesterday on our NHL picks, making us a clean 6-0 over the past three days. I for one am very OK with us just continuing to win hockey props. It's definitely been enjoyable.

The Colorado-Winnipeg and Los Angeles-Edmonton series remain far more inviting from a prop lens, so it's there we go with a pair of Sunday looks.

Casey Mittelstadt point (+114 DraftKings)

Colorado is simply torching Connor Hellebuyck this series, piling up 17 goals in three games. Still at home, it's extremely hard for me to expect anything different.

The Avs are rolling, and I expect them to once again win, score goals, get shots and the like.

One such name, and line, that deserves our attention is Colorado's second forward group, centered by Casey Mittelstadt.

I live bet Mittelstadt goal last game to failure (see, I don't only need to brag about my live exploits). Despite not scoring, he did end up racking up three assists.

My desire to bet him live was simply how involved he was on the ice, the entire second line was buzzing like crazy. Evidenced by Mittelstadt's three apples, they did end up being a big reason for the Colorado win.

Through three games, all three of Mittelstadt, Artturi Lehkonen and Zach Parise are inside the top-four for expected goals this series during even-strength play, and Mittelstadt and Parise are tied for the team lead with five high-danger chances (during even-strength).

That shows me that the advanced numbers are backing up the eye-test: Winnipeg cannot slow down this line.

At this price, I'll gladly bank on them continuing to find goals while on the ice.

Trevor Moore over 2.5 SOG (-105 DraftKings)

Trevor Moore was on my radar prior to Game 3 for Los Angeles, and he ended up finishing with four shots on goal.

There's a few reasons Moore looked good to me despite having only four SOG in the first two games of this series.

One, he's had 5+ attempts in every game. When he does operate with that volume, he's logged 3+ shots in 76% of his games over the past two years and has gone over in 19 of 26 at home this year, averaging 4.0 SOG per game.

The main draw on Moore, however, was his history against Edmonton when skating at home, in the playoffs. I realize we just went down multiple checkboxes to arrive at the crux of the point, but as I say every game: this rich sample size of playoff history between these teams is worth trusting.

Moore's last four home postseason games against the Oilers has resulted in four, five, six and seven shots on goal, averaging 6.5 attempts per game.

It's time I trust whatever makes Moore so apt to rip the puck on home ice, especially with the Kings down 2-1 in the series and well-motivated to grab a game tonight.

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders.

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