NHL Monday props: Five names in good spots

He also leads the Flames in PP shots, and given he's likely to be skating a man-up for 3+ minutes tonight, he'll have plenty of chances to fire off the puck. Los Angeles is allowing nearly four goals per game on the road, so given his volume and the situation, I'm adding on a half-unit wager for Toffoli to score.

.5u: Toffoli goal (+285 CZR)

Kevin Fiala over 2.5 SOG (+102 FD)

It seems Kevin Fiala has finally found his groove for Los Angeles, going over 2.5 shots in four straight and five of his last seven. He's finished with exactly four SOG in three straight games, averaging 6.5 attempts per game during this run.

Fiala is here tonight because Calgary is allowing the second-most power play opportunities per game. They've been even more penalized at home, so given Fiala is leading the Kings in PP shots at 16, he should get his chances.

The one potential red flag on this play is that all of Fiala's recent shot success has come at home. I do weigh home/road splits quite a bit, but I'm continuing with Fiala anyway due to the PP opportunities in front of him. The hope here is that this massive uptick in volume can sustain tonight against the Flames.

Brent Burns & Cale Makar over 2.5 SOG (+144 DK)

I can't ignore Brent Burns' volume, he has to be played on a regular basis. The Carolina defensemen is averaging 8.7 shot attempts per game over his last 10, and has gone over 2.5 shots in 11 of 15 games (six of nine on the road).

Chicago is both a good target for shots and power-play involvement, and Burns is heavily involved on the Hurricanes top power-play line.

We'll pair him with Cale Makar, who should find avenues against a Blues team allowing 35.9 shots per game on the road. St. Louis is allowing the seventh-most shots per game to defensemen, and Makar has had some nice games against them recently. Makar went over 2.5 shots in six of nine games against the Blues last season, four times finishing with 4+ shots. 

Consider both of these gentlemen at a laddered up option at 4+, I'll pair them together this evening.

Mikko Rantanen over 1.5 points (-120 DK)

I gave some heavy thought to Colorado's puckline, but will instead opt for Mikko Rantanen's points as he has been an absolute machine lately.

The Avs are averaging 4.2 goals per game, and St. Louis is allowing nearly 36 shots per game and 3.3 goals on average when skating as the visitor.

Rantanen is on a tear. He's over this 1.5 points line in four of his last five, tallying an absurd 14 points in this stretch. At home, he's even better. Dating back to last year, Rantanen is over 1.5 points in nine of his last 11 home games, and this season he has piled up 18 points in six home games.

Much of that has come on the power play, and the Blues own the league's fourth-worst penalty killing unit. Will gladly grab this prop at -120.