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St. Louis Blues right wing Vladimir Tarasenko (91) celebrates with left wing Pavel Buchnevich (89) after scoring against the Chicago Blackhawks during the second period at Enterprise Center. Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

NHL prop bets for Feb. 17: Power-play points

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 2/17/22

We tested out an experiment last night with power-play points (PPP) in the NHL. We bet on a team's entire first power-play unit to get a PPP in the hopes that if the line scored, we'd get three hits.

Winnipeg delivered with a power-play goal, which cashed three of the power-play points in one go. Unfortunately our other circled spot, Carolina, failed to score on the power play, even coming away with nothing on a 5-on-3 — sigh.

Tonight there are 10 games on the schedule, and there is a decent chunk of games to consider for these power-play angles. Here's the data that fuels these picks, if you're interested in exploring the trends for yourself.

⚡️ If you're looking for some Power Play data, here it is for tonight's games

Lot of options with the big slate, I'll likely be focused on just a few of the spots, but use this however you see fit pic.twitter.com/5kqFPym1YX
— GriffyBets (@griffybets) February 17, 2022

I'm going to roll with the same strategy here and take the entire top power-play line for a few of these spots. I'll be risking .2u on each player, which comes to 1u on the entire line.

There are three spots I feel good about tonight off the list above, so let's get to them.

New York Rangers

The Rangers are in the best spot I've seen yet for a power-play goal. They own the second-best power-play scoring rate, while Detroit has the second-worst penalty kill and averages the fifth-most penalties per game.

It's by far the best intersection I've seen yet for a power-play score.

PPP Bets & Odds on FanDuel:

Chris Kreider (+154)
Mika Zibanejad (+116)
Artemi Panarin (-102)
Ryan Strome (+225)
Adam Fox (+152)

St. Louis Blues

The Blues are the other team tonight that sees an opponent in the bottom 10 of these important targeted metrics (penalties/game and penalty kill).

Montreal averages the seventh-most penalties per game and has the fourth-worst penalty kill. St. Louis's PP scoring rate is only 13th-best, but I like seeing a team on the upper half against a team like Montreal.

Unlike New York, there are some really great odds here for the Blues' top power-play line, so let's get ourselves a St. Louis power-play goal!

PPP Bets & Odds on FanDuel:

Pavel Buchnevich (+180)
Robert Thomas (+320)
Ivan Barbashev (+390)
Torey Krug (+210)
Vladimir Tarasenko (+152)

Winnipeg Jets

We're going right back to Winnipeg, which now has the fifth-highest power-play scoring rate after last night's success.

The Jets will be final target for the night given their opponent. No team has a worse penalty kill in its last 10 games than Seattle. The Kraken are a bit middling in the penalties department, but I can't ignore this disparity in quality of PP units.

PPP Bets & Odds on FanDuel:

Blake Wheeler (+186)
Pierre-Luc Dubois (+210)
Kyle Connor (+128)
Mark Scheifele (+148)
Josh Morrissey (+245)

Good luck tonight if you're following this experimental path with me. Let's see some power-play scoring!

As a reminder, I am betting only .2u on each player to record a PPP. In total, with the three spots, that equates to three units on the line. Let's turn a profit.

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