NHL Thursday bets: Shots on goal props worth a look

With 12 games on the NHL schedule, we have plenty to consider Thursday night. When scanning the board, there appears to be shots on goal (SOG) prop value once again.

Not only are there some intriguing angles to target, but we have some great odds to load up on.

Here are seven plays for Thursday, with six of them coming in at plus-money.

.5u parlay: Josh Norris over 2.5 SOG & Alex Ovechkin over 3.5 SOG (+213 DK)

Now, neither of these guys are playing teams that I typically target for shots. Boston and Toronto both see less than 30 shots per game against them in their location, so why are we parlaying two guys against them?

The answer lies in power-play data and opportunity. Boston is averaging the most penalties per game in the last 10 games and Toronto is averaging the fourth-most.

Both Norris and Ovechkin are two of the highest-volume shooters on the power play. In the last 20 games, Ovechkin tops the league in power-play shots and Norris is fourth.

These guys sit on the power play and launch one-timers at the net. Considering they both should have their opportunities Thursday, I like them to reach these numbers.

Parlay: Tage Thompson & Elias Pettersson over 2.5 SOG (+169 DK)

The Tage Thompson inclusion here is simple, he's near automatic at home. Thompson has hit his SOG in 83% of home games this year.

That's a hit-rate I want to follow, and with St. Louis allowing 34 shots per game in their past five road games, this is a fine target to me. Thompson had eight SOG against the Blues when they last met.

We pair him with Elias Pettersson, who is rolling with shots. Pettersson has covered his SOG prop in six straight games and 10 of his last 12 at home.

Arizona allows 36.5 shots per game on the road in their past ten, always a good team to bet against. 

Brayden Point over 2.5 SOG (-110 DK)

I certainly want to target Anaheim Thursday, as they are allowing 34.6 shots per game on the road in their last 10 games.

Brayden Point sticks out to me at very reasonable odds from the Tampa side. He's hit his SOG prop in six of 10, had four against Anaheim last meeting, and his attempts go up when skating on home ice.

Point brings us the best odds on the Tampa end in a good matchup.

Tony DeAngelo over 2.5 SOG (+140 DK)

Targeting Detroit for shot props is always a worthwhile exercise, as they've been getting pummeled to the tune of 36.7 shots per game on the road.

DeAngelo has been real consistent for Carolina lately, covering his shots prop in six of seven overall and six of his past seven home games.

Since March 1, Detroit is allowing the second-most shots per game to defensemen, so give me DeAngelo at a fantastic price.

Leon Draisaitl over 3.5 SOG (+130 DK)

I'm giving our guy Leon Draisaitl another chance after he let us down a few days ago. At this price, all the better.

Nashville is another team that averages a ton of penalties (second-most in the last 10 games), and Draisaitl operates at a high volume on the power play. Draisaitl ranks sixth in the NHL in power-play shots in the last 20 games.

He doesn't just rely on the PP for his chances, but that's just a cherry on top.

Nashville is allowing 32.2 shots per game at home in their last 10 and Draisaitl has covered his SOG prop in seven of his last nine.

He's also gone over 3.5 in both games against the Predators this season.

Filip Forsberg over 3.5 SOG (+130 DK)

We stick in this game with Filip Forsberg, who has been rolling at home lately. Forsberg has gone for four-plus shots on goal in three straight at home, with a monster 27 attempts in that span.

Averaging 7.8 over his last five, I'm following this shot volume.

Edmonton allows 31.7 shots per game on the road in their last 10.

Seth Jones over 2.5 SOG (+105 DK)

We'll wrap the day's spots with Seth Jones at solid odds. Jones draws a San Jose team getting pummeled with shots lately.

They've seen 35.2 per game against them on the road in the past 10, a number that jumps to 38.2 in their last five.

I like Jones to continue his momentum. He's hit in four of five at home and covered when he played the Sharks at the beginning of the season.

San Jose is a good target for defensemen, which puts Jones over the edge.

Best of luck Thursday! Let's get right in the NHL on this Thursday evening and start ourselves a new streak.