NHL Tuesday bets: Three-leg goal/points parlay

After the All Star break and a small Monday, we finally have a packed NHL schedule again. With more games comes our usual lottery ticket parlays.

In case you've forgotten, the approach here is open-ended and up to you.

If you agree with the logic for these picks, the long-term strategy that likely makes the most sense is to bet these goal-scorers straight. 

We attack these three legs in two ways. The first is to parlay their points for a smaller payout, which opens us up to still cashing a play if they get an assist and not a goal.

The bigger play is a goal parlay, and Tuesday night's comes in at +2,696 odds on FanDuel.

I typically bet .5u-1u on the points parlay and .25u-.5u on the goals parlay. As always, tail responsibly. Let's get to the games!

Columbus Blue Jackets

The first game on my radar surprised me a bit, but we don't ignore the numbers. Columbus is scoring 3.4 goals in their last five road games, and 3.2 in their past 10, both above-average marks compared to the rest of the league.

On the other end is a Washington Capitals team having some goaltending issues, allowing 3.6 goals per game at home in their past 10, ninth-most.

This is my third week trying to find goal scorers for a lottery parlay, and I've found that anything above 3.0 is a green-light, so seeing an intersection of both teams averaging over that number is a good sign.

Patrik Laine

We'll ride with the hot-hand in Laine, who has two points in three straight games, and four goals in his last two.

Laine has missed some time this season, so he's only played in nine road games this year. He has four goals in his last four away games, all in January, and has registered a point in 6 of 9 road games on the season.

That's solid production, and I like riding with the recent trends in Laine.

Point odds: -120 (DK/FD) Goal odds: +240 (FD)

Pittsburgh Penguins

This Penguins game is a terrific unison of positive metrics that point to Pittsburgh goals. On the road, the Pens are pouring on 3.9 goals in their past 10 (third-most). They maintain that production in their past five away tilts, scoring 3.6 per game (ninth-best).

Boston is a bit stingy to shots, but they have been generous to goal scoring when playing host. The Bruins are allowing 3.8 goals per game in their last five, the seventh-most in the NHL. Boston also averages the third-most penalties per game, and Pittsburgh is one of the top power play units in the league.

Jake Guentzel

You could certainly go Bryan Rust off that power play angle, but I'm far more interested in Jake Guentzel, who has been simply amazing on the road this year.

Guentzel has a point in 18 of 19 road games this year, good for a 95% hit rate. This goes without saying but I'll go ahead and say it anyway: that is fantastic.

He's scored in 12 of those 19 games, and has found the back of the net in two of his last three on the road.

When you take a look at his overall production, the goals have been a bit quiet lately, scoring in just one of his last seven games.

While I can understand that being a concern, I'm not worried. He is still very involved in the offense, putting up 3+ SOG in each of those games (4.57 average).

Something about being on the road is getting the most of Guentzel, and I'm following the points.

Guentzel is on the top power play unit as well, which should further aid his cause in this one.

Point odds: -192 (FD) Goal odds: +176 (FD)

Minnesota Wild

This isn't the first time Minnesota has been on this list and it surely won't be the last.

The Wild are scoring no matter the location. On the road, their 4.0 goals per game in their last five is the fifth-highest in the league.

This is a smash-spot for Minnesota, with Winnipeg allowing the fifth-most goals per game at home in their past five, at 4.2.

With both teams allowing more than 4.0, consider multiple angles in this game.

Kevin Fiala

I'm going right back to Fiala, who was in the last version of this article. He scored a goal and recorded an assist in that game, and this man is absolutely rolling.

Fiala now has 1+ point in 12 straight games, seven of which have been on the road. Fiala has five goals in his last seven road games, and is in a great position to add to that mark.

This point streak is as good as it gets, offering us a solid floor in the best spot of the night for goals.

Point odds: -164 (FD) Goal odds: +198 (FD)

Closing Thoughts

The above three games are the clearest sign of goal-scoring opportunity to me. It brings together recent scoring trends and steady production that I covet.

A points parlay of the three above comes in at slightly better odds on FanDuel: +348.

As mentioned above, parlaying these three to score is +2696 odds on FD. It sure would be fun to cash us another lottery ticket. Good luck tonight!