NHL Tuesday bets: Totals and sides leading the way

Then there's special-team advantages that both favor the Islanders. New York should both be able to find themselves a power play goal or two and shut down the Flyers any time they get a man-up advantage.

The Islanders have won nine of their last 10 against Philadelphia, with six of those wins coming in regulation, including a 5-2 win just three days ago.

I find these odds extremely reasonable. New York is 7-3 on the road over their past 10.

Florida Panthers-Calgary Flames over 6.5 goals (+100 DK)

This is going to be a fun game between two of the league's best, and I expect scoring to be a big reason why. We have two explosive offenses who fire off shots and goals, and we pair that with two goaltenders struggling (both allowing 3+ goals per start this season).

Then you factor in that each team struggles giving up power-play chances, and I want a piece of the scoring sure to follow.

These two played to a 5-4 game 10 days ago, and I expect a similar output this evening.

Vancouver Canucks over 3.5 goals (+115 DK)

I love this spot and value for Vancouver tonight against a Washington team allowing 3.5 goals per game on the road this season. The Canucks have netted 4+ goals in six straight games and are averaging 3.6 per game when in Vancouver.

They've scored four goals in two of their last three against the Capitals, which includes a game this season. Vancouver's PP is also scoring at the fifth-highest rate, and the Washington PK is nothing to write home about.

Give me this team total at +115.

Seattle Kraken moneyline (+105 DK)

Seattle is an absolute wagon on the road! They're averaging four goals per game as the visitor, over their team total in all nine games, and have won seven of nine when outside the confines of Climate Pledge Arena.

I considered the Kraken's team total, especially because there is a clear power play edge against a Kings struggling PK unit, but I don't like the prices available to us (2.5 at -160, or over 3.5 at +140).

Instead, I'll apply my love for Seattle goals and just take them to win this game. They've won both games against Los Angeles this season, scoring three goals in each. By all means, consider taking them to go over 2.5 and fret not about the outcome, but this feels like the right approach for me.

The Kraken have been tight to shots and goals on the road, and while I think Los Angeles could score on the power play, I'd expect they struggle a bit to find the net. My guess? A 3-2 Seattle win.

.5u: Sebastian Aho over 2.5 SOG (-115 FD)

Sebastian Aho and Carolina should be able to find some shots today. They're averaging 34.5 as a team on the road while Pittsburgh is allowing 35 per game as hosts.

Aho is over 2.5 in three straight and against the Penguins last season, Aho had four SOG each time. Pittsburgh is allowing the fifth-most shots per game to centers, so I'm finding these odds for Aho extremely reasonable.

.5u: David Pastrnak over 4.5 SOG (-104 FD)

David Pastrnak should have his chances tonight against a Tampa team that is heavily penalized, as we mentioned above. He leads the Bruins in PP volume, and you likely know how steady he's been all season. After a few games finishing just shy at four SOG, this feels like a good return to hitting 5+ shots.

Pasta has 20 shots in his last three games against the Lightning.

.5u: Kyle Connor over 3.5 SOG (-111 CZR)

Kyle Connor should also find power play chances against Colorado, as the Avs are handing out the 12th-most power plays per game. Connor is second on Winnipeg in PP shooting, and has been far better at home, going over 3.5 SOG in three straight and five of his last seven.

Colorado quietly lets up plenty of shots, seeing 35 per game as the visitors. Connor has gone for 4+ shots in eight of his last 11 games against the Avalanche.

Enjoy the big Tuesday slate on the ice, and let's have ourselves a nice winning night!