NHL Tuesday bets: Turning back to SOG props

Nikita Kucherov over 3.5 SOG (-110 FD)

I see some value in finding a Lightning shot prop tonight, as they average around 32 per game at home while the Red Wings see about the same against them on the road.

Kucherov hasn't been very consistent lately, going over 3.5 shots just once in his last six games, so why the love on him here tonight? 

The volume has remained, he's averaging 5.6 attempts per game over his last five, which tops the team.

He's also loved, and I mean loved, facing Detroit. Last year he faced them four times, averaging 5.3 SOG/game, going over 3.5 each time, and scoring twice. 

Going back even further and you see Kucherov has recorded four or more SOG in 11 of his last 14 games against the Red Wings, more often than not registering 5+.

He's due to get back on the board, and this seems like the right spot to give him a chance.

.5u: Matthews & Kucherov goals (+388 CZR)

By all means, take these separately, it's more responsible. For some reason I'm drawn to parlaying this combo of stars to both find the back of the net tonight. I like the volume, so why not expect one in the net too?

Noah Dobson & Brent Burns over 2.5 SOG (+150 DK)

There's no science behind it but when I parlay shots on goal looks I tend to want to combine defensemen when possible. 

Noah Dobson has been a volume monster for the Islanders, especially at home. He'll see the Blues tonight, a team that allows 34.5 shots per game and the fifth-most shots per game to defensemen. I'll gladly bet on Dobson keeping it rolling, even though he went under against St. Louis this season.

Brent Burns should be able to deliver for us tonight against the Ducks. Anaheim struggles with penalties and allowing shots to defensemen, and that checks two very important boxes for Burns. Burns is second on Carolina in PP shots.

Andre Burakovsky over 2.5 SOG (-118 FD)

I'd like to target Montreal tonight on a back-to-back. Even if they were rested, this is a team that allows 34.3 shots per game on the road, so we need a piece of the Kraken.

I like Burakovsky. He's been steady, going over this number in six of his last seven games and four straight at home. Solid volume, and he leads Seattle in power-play shots, a factor that tends to lead to winning SOG bets for guys facing Montreal.

I've considered Seattle for their team total with Jake Allen expected in net, but I don't love the price. I'll take that belief and just bet Burakovsky to score as well.

.5u: Burakovsky goal (+225 CZR)