The Panthers have reached an agreement with defenseman Niko Mikkola on a max-term, eight-year extension, per a team announcement Thursday. It carries a cap hit of $5MM for a total value of $40MM, Pierre LeBrun of TSN and The Athletic reports. He was ticketed for unrestricted free agency next summer. His new deal now carries him through the 2033-34 campaign.
Mikkola, 29, will cash in with the biggest deal of his career after breaking out as a legitimate top-four threat in Florida. He signed a three-year, $7.5MM contract with the Cats in free agency in 2023. He’s in the final year of that deal now, which carries a bargain $2.5MM cap hit. At the time, it was a somewhat risky bet for a player who had demonstrated fine defensive skills but little to no offensive utility in his platform year, recording just six points in 81 games split between the Blues and Rangers.
However, Mikkola quickly proved not to be a drag when deployed as a stabilizing partner for Florida’s top offensive threat on the blue line – first Brandon Montour in 2023-24, then Seth Jones after the Panthers acquired him from the Blackhawks at last year’s trade deadline. The 6’6″, 204-lb lefty has averaged over 20 minutes per game in both of his seasons in Sunrise, logging a 9-30–39 scoring line with a +23 rating in 158 appearances from 2023-25.
His calling card is still that of a prototypical hard-nosed, shutdown defender, just one with enough offensive utility to maintain being a net positive in a top-four role and not drag down a puck-moving partner’s impact. No Florida defender is more physically involved in the game than Mikkola, who had 88 blocks and 137 hits last year. He would have led the team in the former had he not missed a handful of games with an upper-body injury. Those numbers were still down from 2023-24, when he led the team in both blocks (124) and hits (198).
Oftentimes, a player recording high block/hit totals is a good indicator of individual defensive skills that don’t translate to tangible possession impacts. That’s not the case with Mikkola, who, despite having negative relative Corsi impacts over his two years in Florida, has still managed to control 53.2% of expected goals at even strength, losing the quantity battle but winning the quality one.
With Aaron Ekblad, Gustav Forsling, and Jones all signed through at least 2030, Mikkola was the only long-term question mark in a top-four group that’s helped fuel the Panthers to back-to-back Stanley Cup championships. Even bottom-pairing veteran Dmitry Kulikov is signed through 2027-28, leaving the Cats with very little expected movement among their defense corps over the next few years. Eleven skaters – nearly half of their active roster – are now signed through at least the end of the decade, an unmatched amount of long-term commitment anywhere else in the league.
That’s great news for the Panthers, who have no blue-chip prospects in the organization after graduating Mackie Samoskevich to full-time NHL duties. Their top prospect from an already league-worst pool, winger Justin Sourdif, was traded to the Capitals over the offseason. There are still a couple of intriguing forwards in the system, but the same can’t be said for their defense group – led by the team’s new No. 1 prospect according to NHL.com, 2024 third-round pick Matvei Shuravin, who isn’t expected to make an NHL impact for another few years and likely won’t peak above a bottom-pairing option if he does.
Mikkola was one of two big-name pending UFAs in Florida, the other being starting netminder Sergei Bobrovsky. Getting one done before the start of the regular season only opens up more resources and financial stability to aid in smoothing over negotiations with the other.
Image courtesy of James Carey Lauder-Imagn Images.
Emily Kaplan of ESPN was first to report the two sides were close on a long-term deal.
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