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Predicting Claude Giroux’s Next Contract With the Senators
Claude Giroux, Ottawa Senators (Amy Irvin / The Hockey Writers)

The Ottawa Senators’ upcoming offseason is an integral one. They’ll have a projected $17 million in cap space and a few key areas of their roster to address if they hope to reach the playoffs once again. Ideally, they’d like to go out and improve the depth up front and on the blue line as well as sort out their restricted free agents (RFAs) in Tyler Kleven and Fabian Zetterlund.

Perhaps the biggest question mark regarding this offseason, though, is the status of Claude Giroux and whether he’ll return to the team. Three years ago, Giroux chose to return home and take a chance on a young and upcoming team. Both sides embraced each other, and he has served as a savvy veteran leader for the young core since.

But now, circumstances have changed. Giroux is 37 years old, and as with any player his age, questions arise as to how much he has left in the tank. While he feels he does and definitely has the desire to continue playing, it will be up to the Senators to determine if that really is the case and if they should bring him back into the fold. And if so, for how much?

Giroux’s Senators Tenure

Giroux has played 245 games as a member of the Senators, scoring 71 goals and putting up 193 points. He’s proved to be incredibly durable as well, only missing one game in these last three seasons. He was also trusted a lot by head coach Travis Green, as he averaged more than 19 minutes of ice time and was among the best in the league on faceoffs all season, operating at over 60 percent.

Giroux played an incredibly important role from a leadership standpoint. His presence on ice and in the room has proved to be beneficial for Brady Tkachuk and Tim Stutzle, helping them both to become more responsible defensive players.

However, his point production did slow down this season, as he had his lowest points-per-game season since 2009-10 and at times was demoted down to the third line. He’s also not the fleetest of foot, which is not an aspect of one’s game that typically improves with age. 

Giroux tries to offset that as much as possible through his work in the offseason with trainer Tony Greco, so work ethic is certainly not an issue. While it’s clear that he can contribute and is still effective, he is definitely going to have to make at least a bit of a financial sacrifice if he wants to return.

How Giroux’s Contract Affects Senators’ Approach

As mentioned before, the Senators will have over $17 million in cap space to operate with, but will still need to lock down Kleven and Zetterlund in addition to addressing depth up front, on the blue line and at the backup goalie position. The decision on Giroux will have an effect on their flexibility for this offseason.

Their ability to make a significant addition via free agency or trade could take a hit, but it would clarify that the need would be to add a legitimate top-four right-shot defenceman. However, if things don’t work out between the two sides, the priority would lean towards acquiring another top-six forward, which is a lot easier said than done and may result in an overpay given this year’s market.

The Senators could go out and look at forwards such as Brad Marchand, Sam Bennett and Brock Boeser, who would be an improvement over Giroux given their ages and recent track records, but could take significant term and financial commitment. 

General manager Steve Staios has shown in the past that he is not one to get too loyal and is willing to depart from a beloved teammate if he feels it makes the team better. The Giroux decision is a huge focal point and will affect their approach moving forward, so he’ll have to make whatever he feels is the logical decision.

What Should Giroux Make?

With all that being said, what is a contract that would make sense for both sides? Given Giroux’s age, it would be prudent for the Senators to go no longer than two years on the deal, considering the unpredictability of production and performance in one’s late 30s. Despite Giroux’s commitment to his health and body, Father Time comes for everyone, and that could be imminent for him.

The cap hit, considering all these factors, would probably fall in the $3-4 million range, which aligns with many league comparables, a good example being Joe Pavelski, who in his final year with the Dallas Stars made $3.5 million. The number is commensurate with his production and the stage of his career he is currently in.

Ultimately, the team would like him back as he’s been a net positive from an on-ice and leadership standpoint, but it will be up to him to make a sacrifice or perhaps test the open market to try to get as much as he possibly can. That decision will need to become clear soon, as much of the Senators’ offseason hinges on what the answer will be.

This article first appeared on The Hockey Writers and was syndicated with permission.

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