
Pyotr Kochetkov has started the season red hot. The netminder’s 6-0-0 record has helped the Carolina Hurricanes stay near the top of the standings despite the chaos happening elsewhere on the roster. However, some more cynical fans could argue the Russian’s .899 save percentage is underwhelming and reflects the team in front of him more than his own skill. While the Hurricanes’ defensive outfit remains one of the best in the league, that doesn’t mean a goaltender’s success has nothing to do with the guy stopping shots.
If we just look at the base stats, the .899 save percentage seems like a red flag despite the perfect record, even with the drop in save percentages across the NHL over the last couple of seasons. His 1.98 goals-against average, despite the low save percentage, could be used to argue that, on the surface, his success is largely due to a limited workload.
Kochetkov has given up three or more goals only once in his first six starts. It’s true he hasn’t had the most taxing workload in those starts, only facing about 20 shots per game. However, that almost works against a goaltender because they go extended periods without seeing the puck. Carolina still has the unique ability to shut down the other team’s shooting attempts like no one else in the league, which limits volume, but limited volume doesn’t mean limited workload.
If we pull back the curtain, Kochetkov has 2.3 goals saved above expected (GSAx), according to MoneyPuck. That puts him 15th among the 32 goalies to have at least five starts. It means he’s essentially robbed two goals from going in so far this season. He’s frankly overperforming. Part of it seems to stem from how teams utilise the transition game against the Hurricanes.
The Hurricanes have conceded 246 shots through 11 games, a touch more than 22 shots against per game. The issue isn’t the number of shots; it’s the quality. For a long time, opposing teams have had players fly the zone to create an odd-man rush when the Hurricanes lose the forecheck battle. That’s how most teams generate chances against Carolina, resulting in many rush chances. This is where Kochetkov has made up for the lack of workload.
According to Natural Stat Trick, Kochetkov has faced 35 high-danger chances. Those are usually shooting opportunities from below the circles toward the slot. He’s turned away 28 of them, for an .800 high-danger save percentage. That’s 17th in the NHL among goaltenders with at least five starts. That puts him 17th of 32, so just below the middle of the pack.
These stats still don’t properly represent how good Kochetkov has been, largely because of the workload differential. Only Jacob Markstrom and Alex Nedeljkovic have faced fewer high-danger shots than Kochetkov among goaltenders with at least five starts, and both have played about 50 minutes fewer than Carolina’s Russian backstop. Kochetkov can’t bulk up his stats because the Hurricanes just don’t let the puck get through to him for easy saves. Carolina’s system forces him to make almost a quarter of his saves on “high-danger” chances. Since he doesn’t get the same volume, traditional counting stats can be unreliable.
As of this point in the season, the Hurricanes lead the league in zone time. No team has spent more time in the offensive zone or less time in the defensive zone, according to NHL Edge. They’ve spent 46.7% of their 11 games in the offensive zone, and just 35.8% in the defensive zone. They were also the best team in zone time in the 2025-26 season according to Edge, so this isn’t new for Carolina.
The puck is never near the goalie. Defending the Hurricanes’ net is a unique challenge because the goaltender is almost too well insulated. It’s not uncommon for Carolina to go entire periods without giving up a shot because their suppression is so good. That creates a very difficult mental battle. Staying switched on when the Hurricanes are camped out 200 feet away can be challenging. You don’t get the same feel for the puck. You’ll often hear Hurricanes analyst Tripp Tracy talk about that as a former goaltender, and he’s right.
Kochetkov tends to be at his best with a high shot volume. When the Hurricanes’ defence isn’t at the races, Kochetkov gives them their best chance to win. The more pucks he sees, the more comfortable he feels; it almost lifts his confidence and helps him settle in. He can go two to three games without seeing 30 shots cumulatively, so settling in can be challenging. This season, he’s started to look more confident taking the crease, which is a major key to his improvement.
Make no mistake: Kochetkov isn’t a candidate for the Vezina Trophy, awarded to the league’s best goaltender, but he’s been better than his counting stats suggest. That’s almost always the case in Carolina, simply because of how the team plays. For Kochetkov, the task now is to build. He’s got the runway to take the Hurricanes starting role. If he keeps performing at this level, he’ll make a strong case for being the guy when the playoffs start in April.
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