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The Canadiens May Have Already Made Their Goalie Decision
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The odd man out for the Montreal Canadiens in goal probably isn’t Jakub Dobes—it’s Sam Montembeault. On paper, it’s simple: Jakub Dobes is the incumbent, and nothing should change in training camp because he basically played the role of “No. 1” during the stretch run and playoffs. And since the Canadiens picked top prospect Jacob Fowler as Dobes’ backup in the postseason, it tells you the organization is looking at Fowler as the future goalie plan.

If that’s the internal story, why would they mess with it?

Montembeault Won’t Likely Pass Through Waivers, and That’s a Problem

Here’s why. The real wrench is Montembeault and the waiver situation. Fowler being exempt from waivers sounds like the Canadiens have flexibility, but Montembeault doesn’t. If the team decides to cut him (or even move him to the minors), there’s real risk he gets claimed. Asset-management-wise, that’s the opposite of what you want. That’s also especially true if you believe Montembeault’s value is slipping and his contract situation basically runs out soon anyway.

So what does that mean for how they’ll run things this season? Unless the Canadiens do some kind of wild three-goalie rotation (which would be weird and unnecessary), they’re likely to settle into the tandem that already made sense in the playoffs: Dobes and Fowler.

Montembeault Is Clearly the Odd Man Out: Now What?

Montembeault then becomes the odd man out, but not because the Habs don’t like him. It’s because the organization has moved past the “build around him” stage. Montembeault had earned the starter role at the start of last season. But he faltered, and the playoffs proved the team had more trust in the younger group. Plus, his contract expires in 2027, which makes him the goalie they can afford to treat like a movable asset rather than the foundation.

If Montreal truly trusts Fowler to perform at the NHL level, there’s only so much sense in keeping him parked as a backup forever. Fowler went 9-6-2 with a 2.43 GAA and .908 save percentage in 2025-26, which is the kind of production that usually doesn’t get ignored for long.

What’s Next for the Canadiens?

So the likely setup? Dobes gets the main workload; Fowler is the backup who can take over if he performs well. That leaves Montembeault as the third goalie, unless Montreal decides the better move is to trade him.

This article first appeared on NHL Trade Talk and was syndicated with permission.

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