
It’s hard to see Montreal Canadiens goalie Sam Montembeault as a trade “chip.” He may very well be traded in the weeks ahead, but that would probably be more to accommodate him (not that an official request has been reported) and enable him to play more, when, were he to stay, he might realistically end up third on the depth chart below Jakub Dobes and Jacob Fowler.
More to the point, after Montembeault went 10-8-4 with a 3.43 goals-against average and .872 save percentage last season, his trade value isn’t exactly high. You shouldn’t be anticipating a high return if he’s going the other way, similar to with Brendan Gallagher, who obviously got traded to the Vancouver Canucks earlier this offseason for future considerations, with the Canadiens even having to go so far as to retain half his salary.
Further taking into account how the Canadiens should have designs on not just making the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs but contending for the Cup, your usual suspects, i.e., pending unrestricted free agents like Josh Anderson and Phillip Danault, probably don’t qualify on this list of the team’s top projected trade chips heading into the season. This isn’t a list of players on the block or those who aren’t long for this organization in general, but pieces the Habs should consider moving to get them closer to the ultimate goal.
Here are the top three:
In terms of roster players, someone like Oliver Kapanen up front is probably the most expendable from a long-term perspective. However, even with a top prospect like Michael Hage poised to potentially replace him as the team’s second-line centre at the end of next season upon signing his entry-level contract, Kapanen remains the logical choice to play the position for the time being. Unless it’s a second-line centre coming back the other way in any trade, Kapanen is probably staying put, at least for the time being.
In contrast, the Canadiens have a few too many bodies on defense, especially on the left side. While Arber Xhekaj remains unsigned as a restricted free agent and Jayden Struble is probably destined for little more than seventh-defenseman duty, Kaiden Guhle would most definitely get more on the open market… should the Canadiens decide to trade him.
It’s obviously far from certain that they do, because Guhle remains a fairly reliable all-around defenseman when healthy, and he showed signs of breaking out to a further extent these past playoffs when he scored eight assists through 19 games. At just 24 years of age and a former first-round pick, his ceiling remains high, but he’s also played just 208 games out of a possible 328 in the regular season since he joined the Canadiens for the 2022-23 season.
If the Canadiens are serious about having a spot open for prospect David Reinbacher to earn in training camp, albeit on the right side, that leaves one less spot for Guhle, with Lane Hutson, Noah Dobson and Mike Matheson effectively making up the top three. Obviously Guhle is more valuable than Alexandre Carrier, who will be a pending unrestricted free agent, and, ideally the Habs would keep him in the fold as a result. However, if they see him as significantly more valuable than Carrier, other teams probably do too.
Food for thought.
If reports suggesting the Canadiens almost traded for Toronto Maple Leafs forward Matthew Knies last deadline are accurate, then the Habs also came close to trading Alexander Zharovsky. That means the 19-year-old Russian is relatively fair game, despite having just won the Kontinental Hockey League Alexei Cherepanov Award for best rookie, to follow in the footsteps of current-Hab Ivan Demidov who won it the previous year.
Based on Demidov’s incredible rookie season in the NHL this past season, there is significant potential for Zharovsky to follow in his footsteps once more. So, if he is indeed available, the Canadiens could be giving up a great deal. However, as a winger with top-six potential, Zharovsky would have difficulty finding an open spot with the Habs, even opposite Demidov on the second line.
After Alex Newhook scored seven goals through the first two rounds of the postseason last spring, playing with Demidov, that spot is probably his to start the season. Furthermore, there’s a good chance he picks up where he left off, seeing as he scored six goals and six assists through his first 15 games of last season (again playing with Demidov), before getting injured and missing a huge chunk of the campaign.
Zharovsky is undeniably an intriguing prospect, but he possibly represents another instance of someone who’d get a better chance to live up to his potential in another organization. If so, and the Canadiens can benefit via trade, they could come out on top with the right move, not just regarding the hypothetical deal. It could push them over the top overall. Certainly that would in theory justify moving a player like Zharovsky?
Ideally, the Canadiens keep their current prospect pipeline intact. That almost goes without saying, as it’s widely considered one of the best in the league. If you look at their top prospects like Zharovsky, who is a longtime friend of Demidov and could conceivably seamlessly slip in on the opposite wing on the second line, or Hage, who projects as the team’s ever-elusive longtime second-line centre, it’s increasingly hard to find a name that is either expendable or to whom the organization or fans haven’t grown attached.
For example, the Canadiens selected forward Gleb Pugachyov at No. 26 overall this past summer. In fact, the Habs moved up a few spots to take him, when he realistically projects as a bottom-six winger. However, once a few analysts began making comparisons to Tom Wilson he suddenly became relatively untouchable, despite how he plays a position at which they’re set for a decade (Demidov, Juraj Slafkovsky, Zachary Bolduc and, officially speaking, even Zharovsky at right wing).
Whether or not the Canadiens were justified in trading up to get him is hard to say right now. What is fairly well-documented however is that many people were anticipating the Habs to trade the pick outright for immediate reinforcements. A large percentage of those same people were also suggesting it would be the right move (depending on the pieces coming back). Nothing changed. The players available at the range where they picked weren’t projected as game-breaking talents. That includes Pugachyov. While anything can happen, he didn’t magically become a superstar just because the Habs drafted him.
This coming season, the same logic holds true. As the team takes its next steps toward contention (if they’re not there yet), there’s a fairly good chance their first-round picks will end up glorified second-round ones instead. In that case they very much could be justifiably traded under the right circumstances. Of course, the right circumstances, meaning the right player coming back the other way, could probably call for additional chips to factor into trade negotiations.
See the rest of the list above for suggestions as to which ones.
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