On Facebook
On Flipboard
Five reasons the 2025 NBA Draft is wildly unpredictable
The 2025 NBA Draft appears to have a clear-cut top two picks in Duke's Cooper Flagg and Dylan Harper of Rutgers. After that, the draft is full of uncertainty, especially after the lottery. Here are five reasons that this draft looks very difficult to predict.
1. The Philadelphia 76ers have a lot of options at No. 3
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to select Flagg with the top pick, and Sam Vecenie of The Athletic believes that the only way the San Antonio Spurs would pass on Harper is if they made a blockbuster deal for Giannis Antetokounmpo. Past those two players, there is no consensus No. 3 prospect, nor a consensus on what approach the Sixers will take with their veteran-led team.
Philadelphia might simply take its favorite prospect from a group that includes Ace Bailey (Rutgers), VJ Edgecombe (Baylor), Tre Johnson (Texas) and Kon Knueppel (Duke). But they might use the pick as leverage to get off one of their unwanted salaries, either by trading down or getting a veteran. If they got ambitious, they could even try to move last season's disappointing big-money signing, Paul George. It's hard to know what will happen past pick No. 3 when it isn't clear which team will be picking there.
2. Some teams have too many first-round picks
The Oklahoma City Thunder have done a masterful job of constantly replenishing their store of draft picks in the last six years, but now they have the No. 15 and No. 24 selections this year, and 15 players already under contract for 2025-26. Thanks to the Mikal Bridges trade, the Brooklyn Nets have four picks in the first round. The Orlando Magic have 15 players under contract next year and draft at No. 16 and No. 25, while the Atlanta Hawks have No. 13 and No. 22.
That's four teams that should be interested in trading up, or trading out of the first round entirely. Not only are first-round picks unlikely to help immediately, but they also carry guaranteed contracts. The Nets don't want to add four rookies in the same season. The Thunder are already the second-youngest Finals team in history. It's unlikely all four of those teams stay put, and not at all unlikely that all four trade one of their picks.
3. NIL money has convinced many prospects to return to college
The No. 30 pick in the NBA Draft gets a starting salary of $2.74M in 2025-26. Yaxel Lendeborg, a projected first-round pick this season, withdrew from the draft and transferred to the University of Michigan for an NIL package rumored to be around $3M.
For players who don't expect to go in the lottery, it can be safer to take guaranteed money to play in college. JT Toppin was expected to be selected late in the first round or early in the second. Now he's going back to Texas Tech for $4M. Plus, they can always enter the draft next season.
NEW: JT Toppin is expected to make around $4M in NIL at Texas Tech next season, @MattNorlander reportshttps://t.co/DFUayFSGMY https://t.co/vrV2CKRuJZ pic.twitter.com/EzzB07gs5p
— On3 (@On3sports) April 9, 2025
That means that the number of quality players normally available in the middle of the draft has dropped precipitously. The 2021 draft had 363 early-entrant candidates. Four years later, only 106 players declared by the end of April, and 50 of them have since pulled out of the draft. Expect more international players and projects to go late, and second-round picks to be less valuable.
The 2025 NBA Draft has its fewest early entrants in a decade.
— Front Office Sports (@FOS) May 28, 2025
It's less than 1/3 of the early entrants the year before the NIL era began. pic.twitter.com/Fh6BMrA8KQ
4. The NBA's worst teams aren't picking at the top
Flagg would have changed the direction of any franchise he went to, but he's going to a team that was in the NBA Finals one year ago. That means the worst teams in the NBA — the Utah Jazz, Charlotte Hornets and Washington Wizards — have to choose between imperfect players for rosters that have plenty of holes.
Would Charlotte opt for the higher ceiling of Ace Bailey over the more NBA-ready shooting of Kon Knueppel? Do the Wizards take one of the tantalizing combo guards in this range even after picking second team All-Rookie guard Bub Carrington last year? It's hard to know how much teams will draft for fit or best player available, or which players they consider best in the first place.
5. Teams are trying to trade or buy their way back in
The Sacramento Kings are rumored to be making an "aggressive" pursuit of a first-round pick. They're one of nine NBA teams who don't currently have a pick in the draft's first round, a group that includes the Cleveland Cavaliers, New York Knicks, Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers.
Particularly with potential impact players returning to school, don't be surprised if some of these teams use second-rounders, players and cash to get into the first round. For high-salary playoff teams, the late first round gives a unique opportunity to get affordable talent that's cost-controlled for four seasons. Teams pushing up against the various tax aprons may be especially interested. That's why, less than two weeks before the draft, picks 3-60 should be considered completely up in the air. Get ready to tear up a lot of mock drafts until then.
More must-reads:
- Hawks and Nets Could Strike A Deal Before The NBA Draft
- Latest NBA mock gives Chicago Bulls steal of 2025 NBA Draft
- The 'Naismith Men's Player of the Year Award winner' quiz
Breaking News
Trending News
Customize Your Newsletter
+
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!
TODAY'S BEST
Luka Doncic snubbed Austin Reaves during postgame interview
Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves have both gotten off to career-best starts with the Los Angeles Lakers this season, and their relationship off the court appears to be thriving as much as it is on it. Just don’t expect Doncic to admit that. Doncic and Reaves have what has been described as a “bromance.” The two hit it off almost instantly after the Lakers acquired Doncic in a stunning blockbuster trade last season. The brotherly dynamic between the two was on full display after the Lakers beat the Utah Jazz 140-126 on Tuesday night at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, Calif. As Doncic was being interviewed on the court, Reaves came over and patted the five-time All-Star on the back. Reaves sarcastically told Doncic, “Good job, friend.” Doncic kept a straight face and looked at the camera and shook his head. Doncic was then asked if the two are friends. He said Reaves wants to be friends with him but that he is “not allowing it.” Doncic also said there is “nothing” Reaves can do to earn his friendship. Doncic and Reaves have bonded over their competitive spirit and love of trash talk, among other things. In a feature he wrote earlier this month, ESPN’s Dave McMenamin said several Lakers sources told him that Doncic and Reaves have a “bromance” and are always giving one another a hard time. The dynamics of the relationship have also become evident during interviews. If jokingly snubbing Reaves is what works for Doncic, the Lakers are probably hoping it continues. Both Doncic and Reaves are off to outstanding starts to the season, with Doncic averaging 34.6 points per game and Reaves averaging 28.1. If they can both sustain that pace, they might wind up competing with one another for various NBA honors.
New Angels pitcher Grayson Rodriguez reveals interesting health update after Orioles trade
Acquired in a trade with the Baltimore Orioles, new Los Angeles Angels pitcher Grayson Rodriguez believes there is a big reason why he is ready to put his injury history behind him in Anaheim. Just three days after turning 26 years old, Rodriguez is now a member of the Angels after a one-for-one trade that sent outfielder Taylor Ward to Baltimore. He is also hoping that a new location means an end to injuries that have limited him to 43 starts over the past three seasons. That includes zero starts and innings in 2025 because of an elbow issue in spring training, followed by a right lateral strain in April. More elbow problems popped up for Rodriguez in July before he underwent debridement surgery on his elbow in August, officially ending his season. That surgery, however, is, Rodriguez believes, the key to his return to the mound in 2026 as well as his ability to stay on it. Angels' Grayson Rodriguez said bone spurs have been an issue for a long time In a Zoom meeting with Angels reporters on Wednesday, Rodriguez said the bone spurs that were removed had been a problem for years. "That was something that's kind of lingered with me for about three or four years now," Rodriguez said. "I've had them for a while and kind of just got to the point where I couldn't really pitch through it. Pretty sure that's kind of what was causing some of the lat injuries." If that's the case, it could unlock a pitcher who has logged a 4.11 ERA in 238.2 innings over those 43 starts. He has also registered 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings while issuing just 2.9 walks. Getting those kinds of numbers would be a big boost for an Angels rotation that finished 28th out of MLB's 30 teams last season in ERA at 4.91. It would also represent a missed opportunity for an Orioles team that has stated it is looking for another front-line starter. Rodriguez said on Wednesday he would be ready for spring training, giving hope to the Angels that they have found a pitcher who can be a long-term answer for them on the mound. Rodriguez is not scheduled to be a free agent until the 2030 season. If Rodriguez can stay healthy and produce in Anaheim, it would be a gut punch for an Orioles team that is looking to get back into the postseason conversation in 2026. However, time will tell if those bone spurs are truly the answer to Rodriguez staying healthy and on the field.
Packers Receive Disappointing Injury News Before Vikings Matchup
Jayden Reed’s anticipated return to the practice field for the Green Bay Packers will have to wait a little longer. Despite some growing hope earlier this week that the dynamic wide receiver could begin the next phase of his recovery, head coach Matt LaFleur confirmed Wednesday that Reed will not open his 21-day practice window yet. “He’s not practicing today,” LaFleur said ahead of Sunday’s critical matchup against the Minnesota Vikings. When pressed for a clearer timeline on the second-year standout, who remains on injured reserve with collarbone and foot injuries, LaFleur deferred to the medical staff. “I don’t know. As soon as medical clears him, he’ll be out there,” LaFleur said. “I know he’s excited to get back. As am I.” The optimism had spiked in recent days. On Monday, LaFleur indicated there was a chance Reed and/or rookie running back MarShawn Lloyd could start their practice windows this week. Reed himself fueled the excitement Tuesday by sharing a photo of himself dressed in full uniform on social media. Those plans, however, are now on hold. Reed’s surgically repaired foot seems to have healed satisfactorily, but the collarbone—fractured on a diving attempt during the first half of Green Bay’s Week 2 victory over the Washington Commanders—still needs additional time. For a wide receiver whose job involves regular physical contact and the risk of landing hard on the shoulder, the medical staff is requiring clear imaging evidence that the bone is strong enough before green-lighting a return. The cautious approach echoes the Packers’ handling of Aaron Rodgers’ similar collarbone injury in 2017, when the former quarterback sat out seven games while waiting for full healing. Nearly 10 weeks removed from the injury and having already missed eight contests, Reed could still require another one to two weeks before doctors are comfortable clearing him for football activities. That timeline keeps a potential return for the Thanksgiving night clash with the Detroit Lions or the following week against the Chicago Bears realistically in play. Before the injury, Reed had established himself as Green Bay’s top receiving weapon. He paced the team in receiving yards in both 2023 and 2024, and in the two games he played this season while managing the foot issue, he recorded three receptions for 45 yards and a touchdown. The Green Bay Packers will continue their Week 12 preparations without their leading wideout on the practice field, with LaFleur and the organization prioritizing full recovery over a rushed comeback.
Aaron Rodgers explains his criteria for playing Sunday vs. Bears
Aaron Rodgers has always been a tough quarterback. He has dealt with several injuries throughout the course of his career, but he's always done everything he could to see the field. That's no different now that he's with the Pittsburgh Steelers and dealing with a fracture in his left (non-throwing) wrist. Rodgers injured himself against the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, but he's already talking about trying to get back for Pittsburgh's Week 12 contest against the Chicago Bears. In fact, he revealed on Wednesday that he will try things out at practice before this week is over. "It feels better than it did Sunday, that's for sure," Rodgers said Wednesday afternoon, according to Brooke Pryor of ESPN. "... Was thankful to get today to work with [head athletic trainer Gabe Amponsah] and just focus on rehab for today. Trying to get back on the field tomorrow and see what I can do." Aaron Rodgers going to test out his wrist injury on Thursday Rodgers wants to be able to play against the Bears, a team he has owned throughout the years, but he's also saying that he'll be cautious. Remember, he is just weeks away from turning 42. A fractured wrist would be tough to play with at 24. As anyone who has ever gotten older would attest, things tend to hurt even more as you age. Throw in the fact that Rodgers is playing perhaps the most physical sport on Earth, and it makes sense that he does have a very specific standard that he must meet before he decides if he can play — and it has nothing to do with pain. "It's a safety thing," Rodgers said. Rodgers has played in 29 regular-season games against the Bears in his NFL career. Including two playoff wins, he boasts a 26-5 record against them. Since he last squared off with Chicago as the quarterback of the Green Bay Packers in 2022, he had won nine games in a row against the Bears. If he feels he can keep himself safe on Sunday, you can bet he's going to try to play.
PRIVACY POLICY EDITORIAL POLICY CONTACT US
ABOUT YARDBARKER TERMS OF SERVICE
Use of this website (including any and all parts and
components) constitutes your acceptance of these
Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.
This site is for entertainment purposes only.
There is no gambling offered on this site.
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.
