And then there were four. The four number one seeds remain after a mostly chalk men's basketball NCAA Tournament. Auburn, Duke, Florida and Houston have been four of the best teams since November and now head to San Antonio to determine a champion.
Ahead of Saturday's semifinals (Florida vs. Auburn at 6:09 p.m., Houston vs. Duke at 8:49 p.m.) here are the matchups that will decide the games.
Todd Golden vs. Bruce Pearl
Florida's Todd Golden will face Auburn's Bruce Pearl, whom he used to be an assistant under for the Tigers. Florida bested Auburn, 90-81, in a regular season game Feb. 8 at Auburn.
Auburn defends the three well, allowing opponents to shoot just 29 percent, but the Gators hit 13 threes against the Tigers in February. Florida is also the only team to score 90 points against Auburn in regulation this season. Can it replicate that feat on Saturday? Auburn hasn't allowed an opponent to score more than 70 points in six postseason games.
Jon Scheyer vs. Kelvin Sampson
Scheyer is making his first Final Four appearance as a head coach. Sampson is making his third. Sampson has built Houston into a defensive juggernaut, which should be fascinating to watch against Duke's offensive prowess.
Sampson is a master of adjustments and has the edge in this matchup. However, his team defense will be tested against a Duke team with multiple weapons.
On his SiriusXM show, “Basketball & Beyond with Coach K,” former Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski had this say to say about Houston and Kelvin Sampson:
— Joseph Duarte (@Joseph_Duarte) April 2, 2025
“He's really one of the great coaches. … The one thing that's never changed with him is he's a lifelong learner of the game. And… pic.twitter.com/TJ7P8XSqMa
Houston defense vs. Duke three-point shooting
A specific strength of Houston's defense is limiting opponents from beyond the arc. The Cougars rank 15th in the nation in opponent three-point percentage (30.1 percent). Duke has taken over 1,000 threes this season and ranks 11th in the nation in three-point percentage (38.5 percent).
Duke can win without the three as it showed in its Elite 8 win over Alabama when it went 6-for-13, but the Blue Devils had made double-digit threes in the previous four games. Houston has only allowed an opponent to make double-digit threes three times this season, and it hasn't happened since Feb. 1.
Florida vs. Auburn rebounding battle
The Gators hit the glass better than almost any team in the country. At 41.9 rebounds per game, they rank third overall. Auburn is no slouch itself with opponents ranking 121st at 33.4. In the Feb. 8 meeting, the teams tied at 40 rebounds apiece.
In that meeting, Auburn outscored Florida 22-15 in second-chance points. It didn't lead to a win for the Tigers, but it's something they want to replicate Saturday.
Much will depend on Tiger star Johni Broome's health. He briefly left the Elite 8 win over Michigan State with a shoulder injury.
“He’s sore,” Pearl recently told Field of 68’s Jeff Goodman. “We didn’t practice (Monday), and we’ll practice (Tuesday), but Johni won’t practice. He’s sore, but I fully expect him to play on Saturday.”
Tahaad Pettiford vs. Walter Clayton, Jr.
Clayton has been a star for Florida, earning All-American honors. He carved up Auburn for 19 points, six rebounds and nine assists in February. Pettiford has emerged as Auburn's second-biggest threat on offense in the tournament.
Through the Feb. 8 game against Florida, Pettiford averaged 21.2 minutes per game. He's averaged more than 25 minutes since. Both players are stars on the offensive end, but it remains to be seen if they will draw each other for a defensive assignment. Clayton is better equipped to handle Pettiford defensively than the other way around. Count on both leaving their mark on this game.
Houston frontline vs. Cooper Flagg
Flagg has passed every test this season, but Houston is his toughest yet. Houston's frontline is long, athletic and physical. Flagg will see multiple defenders and different looks throughout the game.
The good news for Duke? Flagg doesn't have to be a scorer to influence the game. He's a capable passer, averaging 5.3 assists per game in the tournament. Keep an eye on this with Duke's lethal three-point shooters waiting on the perimeter.
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!