
While it's often tough to predict the results of a Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, it's clear there are only two candidates who have a legitimate shot to get the call this year.
Andruw Jones and Carlos Beltran should earn induction as part of the Baseball Writer's Association of America's 2026 class. And that's it.
Both predominant center fielders finished with 2025 voting totals that often foreshadow eventual induction. Beltran got 70.3% of the vote on his third year on the ballot and Jones received 66.2% on his eighth try. Beltran benefited from a 13.2% vote increase from the year before and Jones just a slight uptick of 4.6%.
Despite falling off a proverbial cliff in his final seasons, Jones still finished with 434 home runs, 1,289 RBI, an OBP of .337 and a slug of .486. Jones, who boots a bWAR of 62.7, also has some hardware of 10 Gold Gloves to highlight his case as one of the most complete players of his era.
As for Beltran, his numbers slightly exceed Jones. The native of Puerto Rico posted career slash-line marks of a .279 average, a .350 OBP and a the same slugging percentage of .486. Statistically, Beltran hit 435 home runs, drove in 1,587 runs and stole 312 bases.
JUST IN: the new ballot for the Baseball Hall of Fame Class of 2026!
— MLB (@MLB) November 17, 2025
12 first-time candidates join 15 holdovers. A player must receive 75% of votes from the BBWAA for election.
Results will be announced Tuesday, Jan. 20, 2026. pic.twitter.com/yjFDRQsaA5
Both are known as two of the most clutch playoff performers in history. Beltran hit .307 in 65 career postseason games and was a member of two pennant winners, winning a World Series ring with the 2017 Houston Astros. Jones hit .273 with 10 October home runs and was a key part of the 1996 and 1999 Atlanta Braves teams that reached the Fall Classic.
The next closest player in the 2025 voting was Chase Utley with 39.8% followed by several superstars with performance-enhancing-drug use during their careers. Since it's unlikely Utley will gain enough votes to advance to the 75% threshold or voters will soften on the likes of Alex Rodriguez, Manny Ramirez or Andy Pettitte, Beltran and Jones seem to be the only options on the 2026 ballot.
Rodriguez, Ramirez and even Pettitte have resumes that would normally guarantee being immortalized in the Hall of Fame, but they will most likely all have to rely on the Contemporary Baseball Era ballot, much the same way Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens have to with one last hope this year.
The Contemporary Baseball Era player ballot features eight candidates for consideration in the Hall of Fame Class of 2026.
— National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum ⚾ (@baseballhall) November 3, 2025
Results will be announced at 7:30 p.m. ET on Dec. 7: https://t.co/V5Xyf85u9i pic.twitter.com/jdkUy2sOWs
Bobby Abreu, Felix Hernandez, Jimmy Rollins and even Torii Hunter have debatable cases but would need an unprecedented rise up the ballot to reach Cooperstown.
Well, aside from the perpetual debates about the voting process, none truly warrant being elected, let alone on the first ballot.
2008 World Series MVP Cole Hamels and 2011 National League MVP Ryan Braun headline the list of first timers. Hamels had a nice career, but falls shy of pretty much every measure used to evaluate a pitcher. Braun, of course, has the often insurmountable obstacle of admitting PED use and serving a 65-game suspension in 2013.
Others like Alex Gordon, Edwin Encarnacion, Gio Gonzalez, Matt Kemp and Hunter Pence will likely drop off the ballot all together.
But even though it appears the stage won't be crowded in the summer of 2026, bigger classes are likely to come in 2027 and beyond.
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