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Anthony Davis injury tanks his already-questionable trade value
Dallas Mavericks forward Anthony Davis. Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Brutal Anthony Davis injury tanks his already-questionable trade value

After weeks of trade rumors and just days after the Atlanta Hawks made a blockbuster deal to clear salary-cap space, another Anthony Davis injury may have postponed any Dallas Mavericks trade plans until the summer.

ESPN's Shams Charania and Tim MacMahon reported that Davis might need surgery to repair ligament damage to his left hand. If so, that could keep him out well past the Feb. 5 trade deadline and make potential suitors hold off on their pursuit of the oft-injured big man.

Anthony Davis is a risky acquisition

The Mavericks already learned a tough lesson about Davis' ability to stay on the court. They traded superstar Luka Doncic for Davis last season, during a stretch when Davis was already out with an injury. The Brow returned with a spectacular 26-point, 16-rebound effort in his first game in a Mavericks uniform — then left with an injury that would keep him out for the next six weeks.

This season, Davis has missed 18 of the Mavericks' 38 games after suffering a calf injury that cost him most of the month of November. When he's played, Davis has averaged 20.4 points, 11.1 rebounds and 1.7 blocks, along with 1.1 steals. Dallas is 10-10 with Davis in the lineup and 4-14 without him, showing he's a game-changing player while healthy.

That's enough to make him a trade target, even with two more seasons and $121M remaining on his contract after this season. The Hawks were widely believed to be targeting Davis when they traded Trae Young to the Washington Wizards, clearing his $49M salary from next year's books. But with Davis possibly missing a "number of months" with his newest injury, they may have to revisit those trade plans in the summer.

Atlanta Hawks could roll the dice on Anthony Davis anyway

It appears that a team trading for Davis this season can't rely on having him on the floor, even less than a team can normally rely on the injury-prone Davis. The Hawks are in a unique position where they have expiring assets that won't be usable after February.

Kristaps Porzingis is making $30.7M in the last year of his contract, which gets the Hawks a long way toward matching Davis' salary. That's a valuable trade chip, especially since CJ McCollum's expiring $30.7M deal can't be combined with other salaries in a trade this season. But if they do trade Porzingis, they need to do it before the deadline.

The Hawks are 18-21 and in ninth place in the Eastern Conference with -1.0 point differential, clearly a level below the contenders. Still, they can't really tank, because the San Antonio Spurs own swap rights for their first-round pick. They, in turn, can swap for the Cleveland Cavaliers' pick, and own outright the better of the first-rounders held by the Milwaukee Bucks and New Orleans Pelicans.

Confused? Essentially it means the Hawks have an excellent shot at a high lottery pick via the Pelicans, but losing doesn't improve their draft position. Davis' injury won't help their lottery odds, but it could lower the asking price from Dallas, given that Davis has now missed 59 percent of his games as a Mavericks, with that percentage about to rise.

If Davis does need surgery, it's most likely that all trade talks are tabled until the summer, especially to most contenders. The Hawks may be the only team who would trade for a banged-up Davis before then.

Sean Keane

Sean Keane is a sportswriter and a comedian based in Oakland, California, with experience covering the NBA, MLB, NFL and Ice Cube’s three-on-three basketball league, The Big 3. He’s written for Comedy Central’s “Another Period,” ESPN the Magazine, and Audible. com

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