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Panic meter: Which Stanley Cup playoff teams should be worried most?
Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Erik Karlsson (65) and Philadelphia Flyers right wing Owen Tippett battle for the puck. Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

Panic meter: Which Stanley Cup playoff teams should be worried most?

Five days into the Stanley Cup playoffs, the cracks are already showing — and for some teams, the alarm bells are blaring. 

Here’s our reverse-order ranking of the NHL postseason teams closest to full-blown panic.

5. Ottawa Senators, down 2-0 to Carolina Hurricanes

It's hard to fault Ottawa for the way it has played. The Senators didn't create enough in Game 1, but they took over parts of Game 2 and forced overtime. But they couldn't finish the job.

The issue comes back to a core that has never won a playoff series together and how long the fan base and even some of the players (like star American winger Brady Tkachuk) will tolerate this.

Bad note for Ottawa: Carolina is 8-1 in the playoffs under coach Rod Brind'Amour when it wins the first two games.

4. Tampa Bay Lightning, tied 1-1 with Montreal Canadiens 

Being tied with a team that finished with the same number of points (106) — and is a popular dark-horse Stanley Cup pick — is less concerning than how the Lightning have played as the series shifts to Montreal. 

Tampa Bay ranks last this postseason in high-danger chances created at five-on-five per 60 minutes, according to Natural Stat Trick. It has also handed Montreal a nightmarish nine power plays, four of which the Canadiens have converted — the second-best mark this postseason.

3. Buffalo Sabres, tied 1-1 with Boston Bruins

The Sabres' brilliant comeback in Game 1 was a disaster for Boston. But that disaster was short-lived as the Bruins mitigated it by holding off another third-period rally in Game 2 on the road. 

Boston's Jeremy Swayman has been excellent so far, with a .931 save percentage and a ranking of sixth of 17 netminders in MoneyPuck's goals saved above expected metric. 

No team has spent more time trailing (79 minutes, 58 seconds) this postseason than Buffalo, which pulled goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen after a nightmarish Game 2 start.

2. Edmonton Oilers, tied 1-1 with Anaheim Ducks

The Oilers vaulted into the top five with a brutal loss to Anaheim at home in Game 2. No lead is safe in this series, but this is an Oilers team with enormous external and internal pressures tied to the future of superstar center Connor McDavid. He doesn't have a point in this series and is reportedly playing hurt, as is center Leon Draisaitl.

Goaltender Connor Ingram was a concern coming into the series, but only three goalies who have played as many games have faced a harder workload this postseason, according to Moneypuck. 

Edmonton's defensive miscues have cost it — the Oilers are last in goals against per 60 minutes and in penalty-killing percentage in the playoffs. They must clean it up or risk an early exit after two straight losing efforts in the Stanley Cup Final.

1. Pittsburgh Penguins, down 3-0 to Philadelphia Flyers

Only 10 teams in the 99-year history of the NHL have come back to force Game 7 after trailing 3-0. Of those 10, only four have won the series. The panic is no longer about losing the series for the Penguins — that's nearly a lock to occur. Now it's about tough, existential questions:

  1. Are the Penguins as good as we thought? 
  2. Is there a fundamental flaw with this team? 
  3. Can that flaw be fixed in the offseason? 
  4. Is this it for the core of Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Kris Letang?
  5. Is Dan Muse the right coach?

The Penguins weren't supposed to be here, after all. They were the only team in the NHL that began this season strategically retreating, only to find a brilliant regular-season performance propel them into home-ice advantage in the opening round.

The Stanley Cup playoffs resume Thursday with three games: Buffalo at Boston, Carolina at Ottawa and Colorado at Los Angeles.

Alex Wiederspiel

Alex Wiederspiel is a professional play-by-play broadcaster and co-host of Locked On NHL Game Night, recapping the full slate of NHL games in 30 minutes for fans three nights a week. 

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