
Notre Dame had better beat No. 1 Miami on Saturday night.
That's the biggest takeaway from the College Football Playoff Selection Committee's first rankings revealed Tuesday night.
The Fighting Irish are ranked No. 4 in the latest AP poll, but the CFP ranked them 11th — the last Power Four team in the 12-team field.
So if Notre Dame wants to be a part of the final 12-team field announced Dec. 6, the Irish must knock off the top-ranked Hurricanes at home to put a signature win on their resume and keep their national title hopes alive.
Beat #1 Miami or the season is over.
— Notre Dame Fighting Irish (@Insidetheirish) November 4, 2026
The 7-1 Fighting Irish's only loss this season was the controversial one to BYU (No. 9 in the CFP rankings) last month.
Notre Dame is No. 1 in ESPN's own FPI rankings.
When the Fighting Irish's logo flashed on the board at No. 11, ESPN's TV crew was stunned.
Joey Galloway's reaction: "Wow."
Rece Davis: "I did not expect to see this. I expected them much, much higher."
After he questioned CFP selection committee chairman Hunter Yurachek about the Irish's unlucky landing spot at No. 11, Davis quickly knew what was at stake Saturday night.
"(Notre Dame) would certainly seem to be in a very precarious position, though," Davis said to Yuracheck, "because there would be precious few opportunities for the Irish to move up if they can't beat Miami."
IF the College Football Playoffs started today
— On3 (@On3) November 4, 2026
Thoughts?https://t.co/YjyMhNOOfX https://t.co/KhBzACw6Y1 pic.twitter.com/W6OkIBUG61
Another shocker from Tuesday's 12-team reveal: No Ohio State.
The banged-up Buckeyes' loss to USC last Saturday sent them tumbling to No. 11 in the AP poll, though they're ranked No. 2 in ESPN's FPI rankings.
The committee, however, placed them No. 12 in the first CFP rankings, meaning if the season ended today, the Buckeyes wouldn't be in the 12-team field, despite Ohio State's huge road win against defending champion Indiana (No. 6 in AP, No. 8 FPI, No. 4 CFP) on Oct. 17.
OSU's bad loss to the Trojans, coupled with starting quarterback Julian Sayin's injury, were factors in the committee's decision, Yurachek said.
CFP committee chair Hunter Yurachek says Ohio State didn’t look like the same team against USC, raising concerns about the Buckeyes’ offensive line and defense — not necessarily the QB. “The committee shared concern about Ohio State up front and their defense.” Is this a bigger concern than the QB situation in Columbus? https://t.co/tJdmdZq3q2
— The Buckeye Nut (@TheBuckeyeNut) November 4, 2026
There's plenty of football left, starting with Saturday's Super Six slate, but for the Buckeyes and the Fighting Irish, one more loss and they're both out of the CFP.
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