Opta’s supercomputer makes clear call on how far Tottenham will go in this season’s Champions League

Originally posted on To The Lane And Back
By Aaryan Choksi | Last updated Dec 11, 2025 4:39 PM ET

Tottenham maintained their perfect home run in the Champions League on Tuesday night against Slavia Prague.

Tottenham fans enjoyed a memorable night on Tuesday as the Lilywhites convincingly dispatched Slavia Prague at home in the Champions League. The North Londoners entered the fixture with renewed confidence after their win over Brentford at N17 just days earlier, and Thomas Frank’s side delivered again, producing a commanding performance in a comfortable 3-0 victory over the Czech outfit.

An early David Zima own goal set the tone for Tottenham before penalties from Mohammed Kudus and Xavi Simons wrapped up the result, extending the club’s perfect home record in the Champions League this season. Four games, four wins at N17 – a statement run that has helped lift the Lilywhites to 11th in the league phase standings.

The night carried extra significance, as Spurs also netted their 100th goal in the Champions League. Supporters were treated to another emotional moment before kick-off, with legendary winger Heung-Min Son receiving a heartfelt farewell from the home crowd. With the competition entering its business end, Thomas Frank will be hoping his side can maintain this momentum and secure the results needed in the remaining fixtures.

Tottenham predicted to miss out on automatic qualifying spots in the Champions League

Tottenham currently sit 11th in the league phase with 11 points from six matches. To seal automatic qualification for the Round of 16, they must finish inside the top eight, a task that requires climbing at least three places in the final two games. Frank’s immediate priority, however, will be ensuring a top-24 finish, which guarantees a playoff tie for a spot in the knockout rounds at minimum.

With two matches left, Opta’s supercomputer predicts Spurs will finish 11th with 14 points, projecting one win and one draw from their remaining fixtures. The model also gives the North Londoners a 74% chance of progressing through their potential playoff match.

Tottenham face Bundesliga heavyweights Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt to close out the league phase. The clash against Dortmund, played at home, offers a strong opportunity to preserve their perfect European record at N17, before a challenging away trip to Frankfurt that could determine their fate in the competition.

Thomas Frank is determined to build on last season’s Europa League triumph as the club targets more silverware. Simply reaching the Round of 16 won’t satisfy the Dane; both he and the supporters will be dreaming of a deep Champions League run. With their formidable home form, the Lilywhites have every reason to believe they can upset the odds on their day.

Will Spurs pull off the unthinkable and mount a historic charge in the Champions League? Only time will tell.

This article first appeared on To The Lane And Back and was syndicated with permission.

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