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Supercomputer predicts Arsenal’s chance of beating Everton this weekend

Originally posted on Just Arsenal | By Admin Martin | Last updated Dec 18, 2025 6:00 AM ET

Arsenal travel to Merseyside this weekend to face Everton, arriving days after a disappointing 2-1 victory against Wolves. While the result delivered three points, the performance raised concerns and left supporters searching for signs of improvement.

After several days to reflect on that home win and prepare for the upcoming fixture, the Gunners will be eager to deliver a far more convincing display. Recent weeks have been marked by inconsistency, with Arsenal struggling to impose themselves and control matches in the manner expected of a side with ambitions at the top of the table.

Pressure to Respond with Authority

Despite the uneven run of form, Arsenal possess a squad filled with high-quality players at the Emirates, and there is a clear expectation that this talent should translate into stronger performances. The closing stages of the year have been challenging, and this match against Everton is viewed as an important indicator of whether the team are making genuine progress.

With Manchester City currently in outstanding form, the margin for error has narrowed significantly. Arsenal are now required to be close to flawless if they are to keep pace, making victory in this fixture particularly important. Dropped points would only increase the pressure and heighten scrutiny of recent performances.

A Difficult Test at Goodison Park

Everton are widely regarded as a stubborn and well-organised side, particularly since David Moyes returned as manager. Arsenal are fully aware that the task ahead will not be straightforward, especially in a demanding away environment where patience and discipline will be essential.

Even so, confidence remains that the Gunners have enough quality to overcome the challenge. Statistical analysis supports this view, as according to Opta , their supercomputer has given Mikel Arteta’s side a 60.4 per cent chance of winning the match. That prediction reflects Arsenal’s overall strength, but it also underlines the need for a marked improvement in performance if they are to justify that expectation and secure a vital result on Merseyside.

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This article first appeared on Just Arsenal and was syndicated with permission.

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