
Brooksby – Baez: 14.01.2026 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jenson Brooksby has lost three of his last five matches. This is his opening tournament of the season. Brooksby defeated Watt in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints.
Sebastian Baez won four of his last five matches. The Argentine played his best tennis in the United Cup last week, winning all three singles matches. This week in Auckland, Baez defeated Nava in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6.
According to the bookies, Brooksby is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Baez played many tough matches last week. This week, he struggled against Nava in the opening round. Brooksby will be more rested and is a better hard-court player.
That being said, Brooksby winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jenson Brooksby winning @1.57 @bet365
Marozsan – Ruud: 14.01.2026 06:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Fabian Marozsan has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Hong Kong, Marozsan lost to Wu in the opening round in straight sets. This is his second appearance in Auckland. Two seasons ago, the Hungarian lost to Shelton in the second round in straight sets. Marozsan outlasted Monfils in three tight sets this week in Auckland, after losing the opening set 5-7.
Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. Last week in the United Cup, Ruud defeated de Minaur in straight sets, but also lost to Mensik in straight sets.
According to the bookies, Marozsan is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Marozsan has decent chances against Ruud on hard courts. In their only head-to-head meetings, Marozsan defeated Ruud in three tight sets under similar conditions. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Marozsan covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fabian Marozsan +3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Medjedovic – Mensik: 14.01.2026 07:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Hamad Medjedovic has won three of his last five matches. This week in Auckland, Medjedovic qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, he defeated Bellucci in straight sets. The Serb hopes for a solid result this week to cement his top 100 status. In the opening round, Medjedovic defeated Kovacevic in three tight sets.
Jakub Mensik has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in the United Cup, Mensik won the opening match against Ruud in straight sets. In the second and third matches, the Czech lost to de Minaur and Bergs in straight sets.
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Mensik is a better hard-court player than Medjedovic and has all the weapons to win this match. Medjedovic struggled in the opening round and will struggle even more against Mensik.
That being said, Mensik winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik winning @1.73 @bet365
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