ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Djokovic vs Musetti

ATP Australian Open quarterfinals

Musetti – Djokovic: 28.01.2026 04:30 CEST
H2H: 1-9

Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Collignon retired mid-match against Musetti in the opening round. The Italian defeated Sonego in the second round in straight sets. He trailed 3-4 in the third set with a break down, but turned it around. In the third round, the Italian defeated Machac in five tight sets after playing for almost five hours. In the fifth deciding set, Musetti offered and saved all three breakpoints. Musetti demolished Fritz in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. Last season at the Australian Open, the Italian lost to Shelton in the third round in four tight sets.

Novak Djokovic has won eight straight matches. This week in Melbourne, he demolished Martinez in straight sets easily. Djokovic served extraordinarily, hitting 14 aces and not offering any breakpoints. In the second round, Djokovic demolished Maestrelli in straight sets. In the third round, Djokovic defeated van de Zandschulp in straight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the third set, but turned it around. Mensik withdrew from the 1/8-Final clash against Djokovic. The Serb is a ten-time champion at the Australian Open. He retired mid-match against Zverev in the semifinals last season.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Djokovic is the clear favourite in this matchup and we agree. He had four days rest and will be fit coming into this matchup. Djokovic leads 9-1 in head-to-head meetings against Musetti, and we expect him to dominate easily.

That being said, Djokovic covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Novak Djokovic -4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Shelton – Sinner: 28.01.2026 09:00 CEST
H2H: 1-8

Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Shelton defeated Humbert in the opening round in straight sets. He was a better player under pressure, winning consecutive tiebreaks. In the second round, Shelton demolished Sweeny in straight sets. He served well, hitting 19 aces and not offering any breakpoints. In the third round, Shelton defeated Vacherot in straight sets. Yesterday in the 1/8-Finals, Shelton turned the match around against Ruud, winning in four sets, after losing the opening set 3-6.

Jannik Sinner has won four of his last five matches. Gaston retired in the opening round match against Sinner after being 0-2 down. In the second round, Sinner demolished Duckworth in straight sets. He offered and saved all four breakpoints. His toughest challenge happened in the third round, when he defeated Spizzirri in four tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6. Sinner fought cramps due to the heat. In the 1/8-Finals, Sinner defeated Darderi in straight sets easily.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sinner is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He will dominate on his backhand side, where Shelton has no answer. The Italian defeated Shelton in the past three meetings in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.

That being said, Sinner winning in straight sets is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner winning 3-0 @1.73 @bet365