ATP Australian Open Best Bets Including Fritz vs Wawrinka

ATP Australian Open 1/16-Finals

Mensik – Quinn: 24.01.2026 08:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Jakub Mensik has won six straight matches. This week in Melbourne, Mensik defeated Carreno-Busta in five sets. In the second round, the Czech demolished Jodar in straight sets easily. Last season in Melbourne, Mensik lost to Davidovich Fokina in the third round in five sets.

Ethan Quinn has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, the American played his best tennis. He defeated both Griekspoor and Hurkacz in straight sets. Quinn has never made it this far at the Masters or Grand Slam level.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Mensik is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He defeated Quinn last season both times in straight sets. We expect his Grand Slam experience to carry him through this match.

That being said, Mensik covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Musetti – Machac: 24.01.2026 00:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, Collignon retired mid-match against Musetti in the opening round. The Italian defeated Sonego in the second round in straight sets. Last season at the Australian Open, the Italian lost to Shelton in the third round, four tight sets to 2.

Tomas Machac has won four of his last five matches. This week, Machac defeated Dimitrov in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, after fighting for over three hours, Machac defeated Tsitsipas in four tight sets. Last season, Machac lost to Djokovic in the third round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Machac is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Machac had tougher opponents than Musetti en route to the third round. He defeated Musetti two seasons ago in Marseille on hard courts. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.

That being said, Machac winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Machac winning @2.38 @bet365

Wawrinka – Fritz: 24.01.2026 07:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1

Stanislas Wawrinka has lost four of his last five matches. This season in Melbourne, Wawrinka has been granted a wild card. In the opening round, Wawrinka defeated Djere in four sets. In the second round, after playing for almost five hours, Wawrinka completed a comeback against Gea, eventually winning in five tight sets. Last season at the Australian Open, he lost to Sonego in the opening round in four tight sets.

Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. Fritz won against Royer in four sets in the opening round this week at the Australian Open. The American defeated Kopriva in the second round in straight sets. Last season in Melbourne, Fritz lost to Monfils in four sets in the third round. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Wawrinka turns 41 this season and has just played a five-hour match. Fritz will be well rested and ready to win easily.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -6.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365