ATP Brisbane Best Bets Including Medvedev vs Michelsen

ATP 250 Brisbane semifinals

Kovacevic – Nakashima: 10.01.2026 03:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Aleksandar Kovacevic has won three of his last five matches. This week in Brisbane, the Australian defeated Kyrgios in the opening round in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. Kovacevic defeated Norrie in the second round in three tight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Kovacevic served well throughout the match. In the quarterfinals, the American defeated Mpetshi Perricard in three tight sets. He once again lost his serve only once.

Brandon Nakashima has won three of his last five matches. This week in Brisbane, Nakashima won his opening match against Davidovich Fokina in straight sets. He trailed 2-4 in the opening set tiebreak, but turned it around. Nakashima won against Halys in the second round in straight sets, whilst saving both breakpoints he offered. In the quarterfinals, the American dominated against Collignon, saving all six breakpoints he offered. He has yet to lose a set this week in Brisbane.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Nakashima is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He was unstoppable this week in Brisbane. On the other hand, Kovacevic struggled in almost every match. Nakashima will be more rested, and we expect him to be a better player in this matchup.

That being said, Nakashima winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Brandon Nakashima winning @1.60 @bet365

Michelsen – Medvedev: 10.01.2026 09:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2

Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. This week in Brisbane, Michelsen defeated Duckworth in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court. After losing the opening set 6-7, the American kept his composure and turned the match around. In the second round, he defeated Tien in straight sets easily. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the quarterfinals, as we predicted, Michelsen defeated Korda in straight sets. He once again offered and saved only one breakpoint.

Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. This week in Brisbane, Medvedev won the opening match against Fucsovics in straight sets. Even though he lost his serve twice, Medvedev won comfortably. The Russian defeated Tiafoe in the second round in straight sets easily. His toughest challenge came in the quarterfinals against Majchrzak. After losing the opening set 6-7, the Russian turned the match around. In the second and third sets, Medvedev served well, saving all breakpoints. This is his second appearance in Brisbane. In his debut campaign, Medvedev finished as a runner-up, losing to Nishikori in the final in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Besides losing the opening set against Majchrzak, the Russian played his best tennis this week in Brisbane. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Michelsen and has yet to drop a set. He has all the weapons to dominate tomorrow.

That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365