ATP Cincinnati Best Bets Including Rune vs Safiullin

ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/32-Finals

Bonzi – Musetti: 09.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 1-3

Benjamin Bonzi has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, the Frenchman defeated Arnaldi in the opening round in three tight sets. After losing the opening set 6-7, Bonzi turned the match around after playing for three hours.

Lorenzo Musetti has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Musetti lost to Michelsen in the third round in three tight sets. Last season in Cincinnati, the Italian lost against Tiafoe in the third round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Musetti is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Bonzi spent three hours on the court in the opening round. Musetti won the last match on hard courts in four sets against Bonzi. He is a top 10 player and has more quality than Bonzi. We expect Musetti to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Ruud – Rinderknech: 09.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 4-0

Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Ruud lost against Khachanov in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Cincinnati, the Norwegian lost to Ruud in the third round in straight sets. He hopes for a solid result this week to get back into the top 10 in the rankings.

Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Frenchman lost against Galarneau in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Cincinnati, Rinderknech defeated Borges in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving both breakpoints he offered.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Ruud is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. In all four head-to-head meetings, Ruud defeated Rinderknech in straight sets. Earlier this season in Acapulco under similar conditions, he won against Rinderknech in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.

That being said, Ruud winning in straight sets is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud winning 2-0 @2.10 @bet365

Safiullin – Rune: 09.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2

Roman Safiullin has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, Safiullin won against Tabilo in straight sets. He served great, not offering any breakpoints.

Holger Rune has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Popyrin upset him in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. Last season, Rune had a decent run in Cincinnati. He eventually lost to Tiafoe in the semifinals in three sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Rune is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Safiullin dominated in the opening round and served great. On the other hand, Rune struggled with his form for the past few weeks. We expect Safiullin to keep this match tight.

That being said, Safiullin covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Roman Safiullin +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365