ATP Cincinnati Best Bets Including Sinner vs Galan

ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/32-Finals

Baez – Diallo: 09.08.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Sebastian Baez has lost three of his last five matches. His last hard-court match before the ATP Cincinnati was in March in Miami, when he lost to Bublik in the opening round in straight sets. So far this season, the Argentine has played five hard-court matches and lost four of them. This week in Cincinnati, Baez defeated Goffin in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved four breakpoints.

Gabriel Diallo has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Canadian lost to Fritz in the third round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Baez is the big underdog in this matchup, and we agree. Diallo enjoys playing on hard courts. Baez defeated Goffin easily in the opening round, but other than that, he struggled on hard courts. We expect Diallo to win easily.

That being said, Diallo covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Gabriel Diallo -4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Bergs – Sonego: 09.08.2025 21:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Zizou Bergs has lost four of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, Bergs ended his seven-match losing streak. In the opening round, he defeated Fearnley in straight sets easily. Besides losing his serve once, Bergs dominated throughout the whole match.

Lorenzo Sonego has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Italian lost to Rublev in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sonego is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Bergs dominated in the opening round and showcased his best tennis. He just needed one win to get back on a winning streak. We expect him to be a better player under these conditions and win.

That being said, Bergs winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Zizou Bergs winning @2.20 @bet365

Sinner – Galan: 09.08.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Jannik Sinner has won seven straight matches. The last match he played was at Wimbledon, where he defeated Alcaraz in the final in four sets. Sinner is the defending champion in Cincinnati. Last season, the Italian defeated Tiafoe in the final in straight sets.

Daniel Elahi Galan has won three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, Galan qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, he defeated Kopriva in straight sets. Galan dominated throughout the whole match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sinner is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and the best player in the world. On the other hand, Galan is a Challenger Tour-level player. He has no weapons to match Sinner’s tennis. We expect Sinner to dominate and win easily.

That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -6.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365