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ATP Dallas Best Bets Including Tiafoe vs Atmane
Main photo credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

ATP 500 Dallas 1/16-Finals

Nakashima – Bellucci: 09.02.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Brandon Nakashima has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to van de Zandschulp in the opening round, four tight sets to three. Last season in Dallas, Nakashima lost to Nishioka in the opening round in straight sets.

Mattia Bellucci has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Manama, Bellucci played at the Challenger tournament, where he lost to Jacquet in the semifinals in three tight sets. Around this time last season, the Italian played in Rotterdam, where he had a great run, reaching the semifinals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Nakashima is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in the USA. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Bellucci. We expect him to dominate in this match and get a comfortable win.

That being said, Nakashima covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Brandon Nakashima -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Svajda – Davidovich Fokina: 09.02.2026 20:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Zachary Svajda has won seven straight matches. Last week in San Diego, Svajda won the Challenger tournament, defeating Korda in the final in straight sets. This week in Dallas, Svajda qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, the American outlasted Boyer in three tight sets.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he retired mid-match against Paul in the third round. Last season in Dallas, the Spaniard lost to Arnaldi in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Svajda is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He has a seven-match winning streak and defeated several solid hard-court players for the past two weeks. We expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Svajda covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Zachary Svajda +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Atmane – Tiafoe: 10.02.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Terence Atmane has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Maestrelli in the opening round, five tight sets to three. Two seasons ago in Dallas, Atmane lost to Nishioka in the opening round in three tight sets.

Frances Tiafoe has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to de Minaur in the third round in straight sets. Last season in Dallas, Tiafoe lost to Nishioka in the second round, 3 tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in the States. Atmane had a rough start to the season. With the help of the crowd, we expect Tiafoe to dominate in this match.

That being said, Tiafoe covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Frances Tiafoe -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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