ATP Doha Best Bets Including Alcaraz vs Rublev

The ATP 500 Doha semifinals are set, and we’ve got two exciting matchups on the schedule. Carlos Alcaraz takes on Andrey Rublev in a big clash between two in-form players, while Arthur Fils faces Jakub Mensik in what should be a tight battle. With strong recent performances and plenty of confidence on both sides, we’re in for a great night of tennis in Doha.

ATP 500 Doha semifinals

Alcaraz – Rublev: 20.02.2026 17:30 CEST
H2H: 4-2

Carlos Alcaraz has won twelve straight matches. The last match he played before the ATP Doha was at the Australian Open, where he won the title, winning against Djokovic in the final in four sets. This week in Doha, the Spaniard defeated Rinderkench in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving both breakpoints he offered. In the second round, Alcaraz defeated Royer in straight sets as well. He trailed 2-5 in the second set, but turned it around, winning five consecutive games. In the quarterfinals, Alcaraz outlasted Khachanov in three tight sets. Last season in Doha, Alcaraz lost to Lehecka in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.

Andrey Rublev has won four of his last five matches. The Russian is a two-time champion here in Doha. This week in Doha, Rublev defeated de Jong in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 0-3 in the opening set, but turned it around. In the second round, Rublev demolished Marozsan in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the quarterfinals, Rublev defeated Tsitsipas in straight sets. Last season, Rublev defeated Draper in the final in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Rublev is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Alcaraz struggled in all three matches this week in Doha. On the other hand, Ruble is a two-time champion here and has dominated in all three matches so far. We expect a close match.

That being said, Rublev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev +4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Fils – Mensik: 20.02.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Arthur Fils has won three of his last five matches. This week in Doha, the Frenchman defeated Majchrzak in the opening round in three tight sets after losing the opening set 6-7. In the second round, Fils defeated Halys in straight sets. He even saved one set point in the second set tiebreak. The Frenchman is doing well on his comeback trail after returning from a longer injury break. In the quarterfinals, Fils defeated Lehecka in straight sets.

Jakub Mensik has won four of his last five matches. This week in Doha, Mensik defeated Choinski in three sets, after losing the opening set 6-7. The Czech trailed 0-2 in the deciding set, but turned it around. In the second round, he defeated Zhang in straight sets comfortably. He served great, not offering any breakpoints. Mensik upset Sinner in the quarterfinals, winning in three sets. He was great under pressure.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Mensik is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. After defeating Sinner in the quarterfinals, we expect Mensik to be a better player in this matchup, especially confidence-wise.

That being said, Mensik winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik winning @1.62 @bet365